Community News March 6, 2012

Hmart has Arrived in Westchester -at Long Last!

You may have never heard of Hmart. So I’ll tell you why Ann and I are excited.

Hmart is an awesome Korean supermarket chain that we  occasionally drive to Queens or New Jersey to patronize because their food (and prices) are so good. There aren’t many options for Korean food in Westchester, so if Ann has a craving for kimchi or tofu, or w want to get some Choco-pies or Deok (a yummy ricecake), we either go without or make a trip of it. When you are self employed, the trip may not fit in.

Well, at the end of the month, all that will change. Hmart is opening their newest store right in our backyard in Hartsdale at 371 Central Avenue. All those Korean delicacies, seafood, treats, and other fare will be a short, convenient drive away. We couldn’t be happier.

Ann grew up in Rego Park, Queens and Korean food was always a short walk away (along with anything else-it’s New York!). Moving to Westchester meant that Korean food was no longer a walk- it was now a planned trip. That was just the way it was. We had a daydream that they’d open an Asian grocery nearby, but an Hmart in Hartsdale was really a pipe dream. Not anymore!

I can guarantee you we’ll be there opening day. Awesome, well priced produce, seafood, noodles, kimchi, spices, tofu, you name it, it will be Heaven.

Market March 5, 2012

February 2012 Westchester Real Estate Market: Transactions Up, Prices Down

According to Empire Access MLS data, the number of Westchester County single family home closings for February 2012 was up by three deals over that of February 2011. After a weak start in January, this is welcome news. Not all the news is rosy, however, as median price is still down significantly over the number from a year prior.

The results are as follows:

February 2012: 228 closed transactions at a median sale price of $500,000.
February 2011: 225 closed transactions at a median sale price of $621,500.

While this does not mean that a house bought last year for $621,500 is now worth $500,000, it does mean that inventory that the public is buying trended toward lower prices last month. The higher cost homes were a softer side of the market.

People who sell a lower priced home are often “move up” buyers of more expensive homes, but the drop in median price may point more to the fact that in February,  a higher percentage of sales end up being expatriots from New York who migrate to the sunbelt. As the Spring approaches, the trend will be more sellers staying put as part of the great Spring rush to be in new digs by the summer in anticipation of the new school year. As that occurs, expect higher priced homes to experience a resurgence.

The data supports this view- currently, there are 792 single family homes under contract or pending sale in Westchester, and the median list price of those homes is $592,500, almost a 19% higher price than February’s median of $500,000. Not everything sells for full price, but expect a higher number in March.

The available 3438 homes on the market represent a 15 month supply of active inventory, and that number will swell as more sellers list their homes for sale in the Spring. Buyers have a decided advantage, and with interest rates as low as they are, those looking to purchase are in the driver seat. The takeaway for sellers is to price realistically, because buyer have lots of options. For buyers, it might be time to make a decision about moving to take advantage of the favorable conditions, because they won’t last forever.

Active Rain February 29, 2012

Why Your Market Report Stinks

After a discussion of market reports in a real estate discussion group geared at forwarding the industry, I am prompted to revisit what makes a market report good or bad in terms of consumer response. 

First, if what you produce gets no consumer response, you need to change what you write. If what you do works, keep it. 

Consumers basically want to know three things from a market report, and the more simply and elegant it is presented, the better. They want to know

  • If the local market is up or down. 
  • What prices are these days. 
  • An example of what is available or recently sold. 
To the above points, you should add your thoughts. Commentary, as well as an example of a home, are crucial.  
 
Peekskill Real EstateMarket reports with too many graphics and charts-especially in the absence of thought out commentary- lose most people. One chart or graph might be useful, but only if you interpret it intelligently. Otherwise you have peacock plumage that makes most consumers eyes glaze over,  is useless to search engines and doesn’t even make you a better source of knowledge. I’ll explain. 
 
When I do a market report, I simply write what the median sale price is for that period in the locale, the number of closed sales, the number of homes under contract the amount of available inventory, and my thoughts on the meaning of the data. A light month that has lots of pending sales is no big thing. A heavy month with few pending sales means we blew all of our ammunition. There are hundreds of variations. But after writing market reports for a locale I have the trends and data down cold.
 
No software chart generator implants knowledge in your brain the way producing commentary does. Explaining the data, prices results and trends positions you as the go- to authority for a marketplace. It has gotten to the point where if I am speaking with a consumer in Peekskill, for example, about what I see, I can tell them what I think, why I think it, and what that means for them without hesitation. That makes an impact. 
 
Moreover, charts are a yawner for search engines. If you do a search for “Ossining Real Estate” on Google, there are 5 images on page 1 from my blog. 4 of them are houses. One is a chart. Nobody clicks on the chart. They click on the houses. Consumers want to see homes. So I post images of homes I have either listed or sold. That makes the numbers come alive. Homes resonate with consumers. Graphs alone don’t. Google spiders respond to words. MLS or software generated graphics don’t make sthe same splash with Google or consumers. 
 
It isn’t rocket science. The basics, 5-10 sentences on the meaning of the basic data, an example of a home for sale or sold by you, and then your home search close by as a call to explore further. It works. Fewer peacock feathers, more thought from you. 
 
Active Rain February 25, 2012

The Day When When REO Agents Have To Work With The Rest of Us Again

Those of you who know Paul Slaybaugh know what I am talking about. Those of you who don’t can thank me later. Paul is a writer of uncommon talent with a wit that I adore. He quasi graduated from Active Rain and now self hosts his own platform at Scottdale Property Shop, and his latest article is not only very funny, it is very true.

Over the past 4-5 years I have often wondered aloud what it would be like for a certain segment of REO agents when the gravy train of cheap, bank-owned foreclosure listings go away and things like collegial treatment of fellow agents and basic giving a crap would matter again for them. Not all REO guys; just the ones who haven’t returned a phone call since 2006 and whose assistants tell you-ASSURE YOU- that the 180 day old listing is “fully available” at 10 am, then say with a straight face at 3pm that contracts are out.

Yeah. Those guys.

Paul has penned (typed) an awesome piece you should read.

Go. There. Now.

Welcome Back, REO Agents!

 

 

 

Active Rain February 24, 2012

A Response to Glen Kelman of Redfin on “Dual Agent” Transactions

J Philip Real EstateIf you read Inman News, it is likely that you have seen the story on Redfin’s blog entitled “Sellers Lose in Dual Agency.” Glen Kelman, CEO of Redfin, had his firm look at the data covering 230,000 closed deals and concluded that homes sold in what REDFIN deems to be dual agent transactions sold for 1.6% less than transactions where a buyer agent was involved. In Redfin’s post, Mr Kelman was gracious to link to my own counterpoint from a little while back. He disagrees, but does not address any specifics. 

I don’t know about you, but if I were a consumer and read that I could get a deal for 95.6% of asking through the listing agent instead of 97.2% with my own rep, I’d fire my buyer agent and just deal directly with listing agents. I don’t think he meant to do this, but I don’t see how many members of the public would not unwittingly draw this conclusion. 

Part of my comment follows: 

Full disclosure: I was Redfin’s first partner agent when they opened business in New York. I remain good friends with Michael Daly, who is, in my view, a valuable asset to their enterprise and a top shelf man. 

In one of those transactions, a Redfin buyer client, after months of looking with me, ended up wanting to see one of my own listings. On the advice of Redfin’s Kevin Broveleit, I stepped back and designated an agent in my firm for both buyer and seller, as I am principal broker. This was an “in house sale” where I got MLS credit on both sides, but was not the type of dual agency Mr Kelman refers to. The devil in the details is that Redfin is assuming that MLS credit to one agent includes in house sales where buyer and seller had designated agents (which Redfin does engage in themselves) or simply a buyer customer who did not have the fiduciary service from the listing agent whose client remained the seller. Neither of those cases is the dual agency Redfin warns against.

In New York (which were three of the largest counties in the Redfin study), concluding that MLS credit to one agent in a transaction is dual agency is supremely erroneous. It could have been an “in house” sale where both buyer and seller had their own designated agent-something Redfin themselves engage in- or the buyer was simply a customer (as opposed to the seller client) who had no fiduciary representation from the listing agent. I am sure this is the case in many areas outside of New York. In order to know if there was really dual agency, you have to open the confidential file and read the agency disclosure. I’ve met Glen twice and we shook hands, but I never showed him any file, even on deals where Redfin referred me business. 

J Philip Real EstateThe data that Redfin uses to come to their conclusions is their IDX or Virtual Office feed from the MLS systems they belong to. How do I know this? They told me. This data is meant for consumer searches. It populates websites where consumers look for homes. It isn’t really a data pool that is meant for such a deep drilling matter as agency disclosure. A few months ago, when Redfin attempted to publish “field reports” of agent statistics, they had to end the project because the accuracy was a problem. I believe the same problem occurs in this instance when they are using a pool of data that is not being utilized for the its true purpose. There simply isn’t enough detail in IDX/VOW data feeds to analyze it properly for something as sensitive as agency representation and the consequences of such. 

For example, as I comented:

Do overpriced listings, which end up stale, sell for a higher percentage than aggressively priced homes that garner vast attention from cooperating firms? I think we know the answer. So, yes, listing agents often end up selling their overpriced inventory, (if they sell at all) themselves. And some of the “lowballers” do deal directly with the listing agent as part of their strategy. Even in those cases, with the seller as client and the buyer as customer, it is invalid to conclude that dual agency occurred. 

The devil is in the details. Without facts beyond raw sales and MLS credit, you can’t normalize the data for crucial variables, which is a basic statistical principle. Rather than paint with a broad brush over 230,000 deals, I think there would be more value to look carefully at 100 or 250 transactions. I don’t believe for a minute that buyers get a better deal with the listing agent directly, and I don’t think Glen would build a business modeled on that either. 

Redfin would do better to build their brokerage to be profitable and sustainable so that they never need another dime of venture capital, and leave the statistical analysis to the people with superior data. Those people would probably not be brokers. Any analysis that makes a buyer conclude they’ll get a batter deal without a true representative does those buyers no service. 

Active Rain February 20, 2012

Is the Apartment REALLY a 2 Bedroom?

There is a sinking feeling real estate agents get when we look up the history of a co-op or condo apartment we are listing for sale and see that our new client bought it as a 2 bedroom unit and prior transactions have it as a one bedroom. Obviously, two bedroom apartments are higher in value than those with one bedroom. However, using a den or alcove as a bedroom does not make the area a legal bedroom.

Generally speaking, a bedroom has to have its own door, a window, and a closet. That said, even if the owner hires a contractor to add a closet, you simply may end up with an illegal bedroom. All buildings have certificates of occupancy, and they specify the characteristics of the building. The reason for this isn’t simply municipal hegemony; the number of bedrooms indicate the probable number of inhabitants for matters like utility usage, parking spaces, and fire safety. If a large building with limited parking has ten or fifteen extra “bedrooms” added over time without  management’s knowledge, there can be a shortage of parking or quality of life issues the building was not designed to accommodate. That is why there is red tape or prohibition in legalizing a 2nd bedroom.

When owners and real estate agents list a 1 bedroom unit with a den or a junior 4 (one bedroom with a dining area) as a 2 bedroom, that information is out there forever. It remains in Multiple Listing Service  archives and real estate websites, and future owners of the unit who thought they bought a two bedroom and can only sell it as a 1 bedroom may be caught in the information undertow. This is a liability that is larger than any gain that the 2 bedroom listing might have yielded.

The pragmatic issue is that the current crop of buyers in this economy are very cautious, and do far more research than in years past. Moreover, a buyer needing a true second bedroom often turns on their heels when they see a 7′ by 9′ den or converted dining cubby being pawned as that second bedroom after viewing true 2 bedroom units. That does not foster trust.

Last year the Westchester Putnam Association of REALTORS (now the Hudson Gateway Association) began to actively stop member brokers from listing junior 4 and 1 bedroom units with a den as 2 bedrooms, and that did cause a backlash with some sellers who thought they owned two bedroom units. This was an unfortunate thing, but necessary to make sure that the integrity of the data going forward would be reliable.

The takeaway for consumers and agents alike is that a simple check with the management office can save future headaches and expensive mistakes.

Active Rain February 13, 2012

2012 Westchester Real Estate Market off to Slow Start in January

J Philip Real EstateSometimes there is no pretty way to say it, so I’ll just say it: January 2012 was not a very good month in Westchester real estate. According to the Empire Access MLS, both the transaction total and median sale price of single family homes in the county were down from the same time in 2011. Since 2011 started out far slower than 2010, the ramifications could be far reaching. 

To sumarize: 

In January 2011, 237 single family homes closed at a median sale price of $540,000. 
In January 2012, 219 single family homes closed at a median sale price of $485,000.

The last month of January the median price was below $500,000 was 2002, when the median was $472,000. That  month, however, there were 415 closings, or almost double last month. 219 transactions is a shrinking pie to share amongst the over 6,000 licensed sales people in Westchester. 

Median price is not average price, so rather than being more emblematic of where values are, it speaks to the buying public’s trend to buy less expensive homes. Clearly, the consumers are more conservative, discerning, and cautious. 

There are other factors at work as well. Currently, there are 676 homes under contract in the pipeline. If only half of them closed in the next 30 days it would be a very productive month. However, getting that many deals closed is  unlikely for several reasons. First, many of those deals are short sales that are months away from being approved by the sellers’  lenders. Also, the mortgage money supply continues to be quite tight, and many transactions are still caught in red tape, underwriting obstacles, and other roadblocks related to a crimp in the monetary system. 

Last week I attended a dinner keynoted by Michael McHugh, president of Continental Home Loans. In his view, the tighter money supply is a result of Dodd-Frank, and this trend is expected to continue as the legislation continues to be implemented. Ironically, 4% interest rates and lower prices and  are not enough to push the market out of the malaise. It is a complex issue, because the “fix” for the financial crisis is having a suppressing effect instead of strengthening the market it was designed to turn around. 

This does, of course, spell a huge opportunity for buyers. The climate is very heavily tilted in buyers’ favor, but how many take advantage remains to be seen. While many conditions clearly make it a great time to buy, the overall mentality of caution  is keeping many would-be buyers on the sideline. What buyers sitting on the fence should know is that if they are planning for the long term, they can get themselves a very good situations with excellent terms. They just have to get out there and make an offer. 

 

Active Rain February 11, 2012

Jeremy Lin is Going to Need a New York Real Estate Agent

Jeremy Lin at the end of the first Knicks game where I went crazy since the 90'sFor those of you not living in New York or who don’t follow NBA basketball, the toast of Gotham is Jeremy Lin, an unheralded, undrafted, and un-scholarshipped (is that a word?) point guard who just led the Knicks to their 4th straight win over the Lakers. He scored 38 points to pace the Knickerbockers, playing without their two stars, over LA 92-85. Lin is an amazing story: after leading his high school to the state championship, no college offered him a scholarship. I read last night that a coach at UCLA, Lin’s dream school, admitted that had they been wise enough to recruit him, he would have started for the Bruins. He played at Harvard and was undrafted by any NBA team. Two clubs cut him before the Knicks picked him up. He’s only been in town a couple of weeks and probably would still be on the bench if the squad weren’t plagued by injuries. And all he’s done is play out of his mind and lead the Knickerbockers to 4 straight wins. 

One of the announcers tonight mentioned that Jeremy is staying at his brother’s house on the lower east side on a couch. They went on to say that some real estate agents must be licking their chops, because Lin is not leaving New York anytime soon. I agree- Mr Lin is not going to be some journeyman who gets cut, waived, traded or sent back to D-League. He’s staying in Madison Square Garden and he’s going to have to do better than his brother’s couch. 

If Jeremy wanted to live in the suburbs, Westchester would be the best choice in my mind, and I think I know a good broker for him to call. However, I think he’ll stay in Manhattan, and that gets my wheels turning because I know an agent or two that, if I were in his shoes, I would use to find a home. 

I have done business with Eileen Hsu for years and she’d be a phenomenal choice. Eileen is a tremendous talent, a great advocate and negotiator, and possesses an incredibly committed work ethic. I have had a front row seat in some transactions of a highly difficult nature where Eileen gave virtuoso performances and got the job done elegantly. 

My friend Doug Heddings also comes to mind. Heddings Property Group is perhaps the most forward thinking and innovative real estate brokerage in Manhattan. The firm’s growth proves that Dog knows where this industry needs to go to truly serve the public. 

Walt Frazier JrOf course, Knick hall of famer and announcer Walt Frazier’s son Walt Frazier Jr is an agent with Keller Williams in Manhattan, and he may already be on the job. I had the good fortune of meeting Walt at the New York RE Bar camp last month, and I remembered him from his own illustrious college basketball career at Penn when he played some great games against my alma mater, Villanova, and ruined our chances of winning the Big 5 in 1988-89. Walt, who has the heart of a champion, runs a great operation. 

But alas, in the post game tonight the commentators mentioned that Jeremy has been offered the apartment of ex-teammate David Lee in White Plains. 

What really gets me jazzed about Jeremy Lin is not the pipe dream of being his real estate agent. My 9-year old son Luke has coincidentally discovered a love of basketball in the last few months. Luke has ADD and last year, prior to his diagnosis, he had to endure some difficult times in school both academically and socially. It is not easy for a father to see that, and Ann and I have worked hard to help him. I had ADD too and sports made a huge difference for me. It is beginning to make a difference for Luke. He and I will be going to some games aside from the ones we play in the driveway, and a role model like Mr Lin makes a father’s job easier. His story of perseverance and faith is an inspiration. And that’s why Madison Square Garden is electric again. 

 

Update: Lin is out in front again- NY Post already reported he’s househunting! 

Active Rain February 7, 2012

How Much Will You Cut Your Commission If I Find a Buyer?

Welcome matEvery so often I get a call from a home seller asking me a variation of this question:

What will the commission be if I find my own buyer?

It could be a seller client or someone considering listing their home with my company. Typically, the discussion that follows reveals that the questioner

  • either wants a complete exemption from commission because it is “their” buyer or:
  •  a steep discount because they think most of the work is now done. 

This shows a fundamental lack of understanding of the role their broker plays in the sale of their home. 

To backtrack: In 2004, a person could make an offer on a home, get it accepted, and get a mortgage in 30-40 days without much effort or hand holding from their agent. I know this firsthand; I was a loan officer from 2001 until about 2005 when I started my company. It was so easy to get a mortgage back then that it was almost scary- there were no income loans, no documentation loans, and all sort of other programs that required a pulse and little else. If a person liked a home and wanted it, you sent them to the mortgage broker down at the corner, left them alone, and they moved in 60 days later. All that was needed for a house to sell was a person that liked the place. 

Since the housing downturn, the pendulum has swung the other way. Banks are so cautious and strict in their underwriting that even seemingly well qualified people have a hard time getting to the closing table. The scrutiny from bank underwriters not only borders on suspicion, sometimes it feels like they are looking for an excuse to avoid lending the money.

In this climate, finding the buyer is just the beginning of the work. Not only are the banks more cautious, buyers also proceed with far more trepidation and hesitation than they ever did in years past. Even when people simply love a house, I have seen deals implode over draconian underwriting or buyers who have gotten spooked over a seemingly easy to fix problem on the seller’s side, such as an open permit or high radon reading. 

Super Bowl Champion Eli ManningToday, an accepted offer is anti climactic. Once a buyer makes an offer, we have to navigate an obstacle course of home inspections, attorney haggling over contract verbiage (which can drag on for weeks here is lawyer happy New York), appraisal issues, title concerns, commitment conditions, challenges to get a clear to close and a ton of other possible “gotchas” that we often doubt a closing will happen until all parties show up. 

No sane person dislikes saving money. I sure don’t. But if a seller has a cousin or a neighbor they run into at the store who expresses an interest in their home, they should immediately refer them to their agent and ensure that the deal has the best chance of closing. You never as a seller want to compete with your own agent. It is tempting for some to think that they can “save” by bargaining their agent to a lower (or no) commission by procuring their own buyer. But the skill set that it takes to carry that buyer over the finish line is far more than most regular folks possess. 

There are rare cases when a seller might have a solid buyer lined up where an exclusion could be negotiated for a reduced commission IF the buyer is a quick knockout punch. But the sort of prospect who can truly close quickly with no time on market or the associated expenses is rare. Often the the seller is seduced by mere interest, as if it were 2004 again and all they need do is send their prospect down the street. In this day and age, that doesn’t occur much. In a transaction the magnitude of selling a home, the best thing to do is have your professional do the job, and rest assured that you are getting what you paid for. 

If you want a do it yourself project, build a go-cart. For real estate, use your broker no matter where the buyer might come from. 

Active Rain February 5, 2012

Pigs Only Understand Slop

This past December I established a zero tolerance policy for uncooperative mortgage loan officers. In the past 24 hours I have faced the same issue. One of my agents is representing buyers in a particularly difficult purchase. The buyer clients were telling her things that she need clarity on, and over a week ago she reached out to their loan officer at a large, well known big box bank you have heard of. 
No response. 
A few days ago, she emailed the loan officer again. 
No response. 
 
I reached out. I was less, shall we say, timid.
Here’s the response we got: 
 

I believe you should communicate with the clients who applied for the loan. I have been in constant communication with them and they can provide you with status.

 If you are not 100% satisfied with my service or your experience with <Uberbank> at any time, please let me or my manager know right away.  Our contact information is below.  Thank you for choosing <Uberbank>.

<name and contact info for manager>

This is the kind of arrogance that confounds me. What he’s basically saying is that not only does he not care, but his boss doesn’t care either. Institutionalized pompousity. Meanwhile, the client spins their wheels and the folks on the other side of the transaction grind their teeth. 
 
What do I do now? Say pretty please? Reach out to a manager who will repeat the party line? Obviously they don’t care if they never get a file from us and they don’t care if this closes. They just don’t care. 
 
Pigs only understand slop. After some thought, I sent back the following response: 
 
Believe me, we don’t exactly want to communicate with you. As a matter of fact when this file is concluded, I’d probably avoid you. 

The thing is that we have jobs to do, and communication from the loan officer is essential at some times when the client tells us things that don’t add up. 

So when  we seek you out, we aren’t looking to enjoy your sparkling, collegial personality. We seek clarity on something the client cannot offer. Why don’t you call the <Uberbank> branch in Scarsdale for advice on how to address something like that, and they might be able to offer you some insight on what we seek. I have more use for their LO team than your supervisor. 

Have a great weekend.

I fully expected another frustrating response, but I was pleasantly surprised. 
I got an apologetic voicemail (which will be saved for a long, long time!) and my agent got a personal phone call-on a Saturday- from this LO apologizing for the nastiness, and a clear status update. It wasn’t the best news, but it was news and that’s what we needed. 
 
I don’t know if my response was truly the cause, but I’m certain that something caused a change of heart over there. Maybe he googled me. Maybe his conscience whispered in his ear. I don’t care. I just know that in December I pledged not to rest in situations like this until I knew the score. And now we know the score. 
 
Now we can do our job again. 
 
 
 
 
Active Rain February 3, 2012

Pleasantville, NY Voted 2nd Best Smelling City in the Galaxy

Pleasantville HouseI have often said that nearby Pleasantville is aptly named. It borders Briarcliff Manor to the east and is idyllic: a picturesque, charming little village on the Harlem line of Metro North with shops, eateries, and culture. The latest feather in the village’s cap is that GQ magazine voted it the second best smelling city in the world

Good for them. I’m no expert on aroma but I can tell you that living in Pleasantville would never stink. My first job ever, which paid for my junior prom in 1984, was washing dishes at Pace University. When I took a year sabbatical from life in 2000 before I got married I tended bar at Mediterraneo. As a matter of fact, I proposed to Ann over a nice meal from Mediterraneo, but it was takeout. They still get credit. I meet every other Friday at Jean Jacques with my networking group. And the Jacob Burns Center is Westchester County’s premier theater for cultural films. 

We love to do business in Pleasantville. Stephanie Solano, one of our top agents, lives in Pleasantville and is a local expert. 

In 2011, 47 homes sold in Pleasantville at a median price of $495,000. 
There are currently 40 homes for sale in the Pleasantville school district at a median list price of $649,450.  

It is a great time to be a buyer, and if central Westchester County is a good location for you, you should check Pleasantville out. Better yet, reach out to Stephanie. (914) 645-2433

Previous posts on Pleasantville.

View homes for sale in Pleasantville with or without registration

 

Pleasantville Named Best Smelling ‘City’: MyFoxNY.com

Active Rain February 2, 2012

Wordless Wednesday: Victorian Home, Peekskill, NY

Active Rain February 1, 2012

How the Chappaqua Condo Market Demonstrates That All Real Estate is Local

173 Birchwood Close Chappaqua $375,000For the third time in the past 4 weeks, I have been contacted by a buyer who chose to call me directly instead of having their agent call me because their offer was not accepted. In each case, I have told the agent-and the buyer when they called- that I’d be happy to know what comparable sale they used to justify their price. In each case, I have heard the same thing in lieu of any other fact: It is a buyer’s market.

This is what I wrote earlier this week on the “buyer’s market:

 the “buyer’s market” phrase was thrown around as if it were some childhood game wildcard phrase that granted immunity from logic or true market forces.

In other words, there were no other sales they could use to justify their price- it was just a speculative pipe dream. 

One of the properties we are dealing with is a condominium in Chappaqua in the Old Farm Lake complex. Even though the 4th quarter of 2011 was not good and prices across the Westchester market were down about 5% from last year, the condominium market in Chappaqua is actually up. Here are some facts:

  • In 2009, the median price of a condo in Chappaqua was $453,000. 
  • In 2010, the median price of a condo in Chappaqua was $467,000.
  • In 2011, the median price of a condo in Chappaqua was $505,000. 
2011’s median price is the highest since 2008, when there were 19 closings at a median price of $530,000. In 2011 there were 17 closings. Not much of a difference. 
 
It’s local. This small sector of the market for whatever reason is up in median price. You can’t stress it enough: All real estate is local. What we read about in Nevada, Arizona or Florida is fine when evaluating the national scene. But if you are buying something, it is the local facts on the ground that matter, not what is happening in another state. Is it still a buyers market? It is. But the degree of leverage a buyer has on a Chappaqua condo is not what they’d have in Florida, and if they make the mistake of judging things outside of the locale, they risk losing out on a nice unit. 
 
173 Birchwood Close Chappaqua $375,000
Active Rain January 31, 2012

Yuck it Up, Foreclosure Lawyers. Yuck it Up.

Waiting outside the court roomNew York State has something known as settlement conferences for homeowners facing foreclosure. It is a good law. Distressed borrowers can go to the courthouse and meet with lawyers of their lender face to face in front of a judge or court appointed referee. The referee is there to make sure that the bank is treating the borrower fairly, and if the borrower is trying to modify their loan, they are given every chance to do so with the conference process in place to ensure fair treatment. 

I have accompanied quite a few clients to these hearings. I have seen referees discuss with bank lawyers lost faxes, red tape, and much of the other nonsensical stuff that banks often subject their borrowers to, and the referee/judge doesn’t have much room for that sort of thing. It is the closest thing to compassion by statute I have ever seen for borrowers facing foreclosure. 

Now, while this sounds well and good, the borrowers who get these letters calling them to schedule a conference are beyond stressed. They are frightened. Nothing I can say makes them comfortable about going to court in front of a judge and facing the lawyer who represents the bank in the foreclosure proceeding. The only role I can play when I go with my clients is that of support. It makes a difference. 

About 2 weeks ago, I went with another client to one of these conferences. It was the same as you’d expect- a stressed out borrower with his home listed with me as a short sale with a manila folder filled with his records. He couldn’t afford a lawyer. We waited in the hall together outside the court room, which acted as a waiting room of sorts for the foreclosure lawyers while the judge held the conferences in her chamber. 

You have to appreciate the place filled with other borrowers behind on their mortgages waiting for their sessions. They show up with thick folders, they speak in hushed tones, and the scent of fear is heavy in the air. It’s like a wake or a hospital emergency room waiting area. Even when the borrower can afford their own attorney, it is somber. One husband and wife showed up with their toddler daughter, wide eyed and adorable. I can imagine the mental gymnastics they were going through to be strong for her. 

I debated even posting about this, and while it is not the Zapruder film or conclusive proof of the Yeti, it is significant because it speaks to the times we live in.

We were about 10 feet from the door, and our session was for 10am. We didn’t get in front of the judge until 11:30, so we had 90 minutes together in the hall while we heard the bank attorneys in the next room talk. 

And these guys were having a good old time. A laugh a minute. It was just a good old boy, back slapping, bull session among colleagues who were either oblivious to the suffering of the people 10 feet away, or they just didn’t care. Now since they could see us and walked past us every time they went to get a drink or go to the men’s room, and since they knew why we were there, I have to conclude that they just didn’t care. Not a lick.

My client just shook his head. It dawned on me that I had my mobile phone, so, for science, I ran the camera for 60 seconds to see if I could capture our friends in a few carefree laughs. They didn’t disappoint. I have never seen this kind of behavior outside a settlement conference in any other courthouse. It’s almost like they were rubbing it in; Hey pal, we’re all lawyers in suits with this steady gig representing the bank, and you’re not. So sit there and marinate in your stress and fear- we’ll be 10 feet away, yucking it up in our little carefree club, and revel in our joy of not being you. It went on all morning. 

Like I said: I have been to conferences in counties all over the Hudson Valley, and I won’t name which courthouse this one was. But none of the other ones was remotely like this. I might add that the woman in the foreground closest to the door was the lawyer for my client’s bank. She couldn’t have been a nicer lady, and her discomfort with the contrast between the rooms was obvious to me over the 90 odd minutes. But her colleagues? When they get theirs I won’t shed a tear. So yuck it up and rub my guy’s nose in it boys. Your time will come. Karma’s a bitch

Go to about 0:30.

Active Rain January 28, 2012

On ARG’s Announcement to Pull Their Listings from Syndication

Victorian HomeInman news is reporting a Youtube announcement from ARG (Abbott Realty Group) that they are not  permitting their listings to be viewed on 3rd party syndicators such as Zillow, Trulia and even Realtor.com. The link is already behind Inman‘s paywall so I have embedded the video below. This comes in the wake of a similar announcement from midwest Giant Edina Realty’s decision to do the very same thing this past November. Jim Abbott, broker and president of ARG, gives what I consider a very well reasoned explanation for his company’s decision. You may not agree, but his explanation is compelling. 

As much as I’d like to be the enlightened, philosophical, transparency embracing dude I strive to be, the small business owner in me is quietly applauding Mr Abbott’s guts. Here’s why: You might expect on Zillow or Trulia that if you click on the smiling face next to the advert for more information that you’ll be put in touch with the listing agent, but you would be wrong much of the time. I spend 5 figures annually to keep myself as the contact on my listings on these sites, because they are in the business to sell zip codes to agents posting themselves as the local experts. In other words, that smiling face might be some guy who never saw the house in his life but wrote a check to be the contact for the zip code. Any  consumer who has ever made inquiries on Zillow and Trulia knows this.

Some listing agents view this as extortion, because they provide the websites the content, but then have to pay for the privelege of being the recipient of the consumer inquiry on their own listing. 

The argument for syndication (and the natural rebuttal to Mr Abbott) has always been the same thing: exposure. When a broker is hired to market a property, it is our fiduciary duty to maximize exposure of the home, and these websites get mammoth traffic. It is also a matter of raw competition: “I’ll put your listing on Zillow and Trulia” is the 2012 version of “I’ll buy an ad in the supermarket homes magazine,” which was the better mousetrap when I was first licensed in 1996. Here’s the problem with that: The data is often inaccurate and not up to date, and I’m not so sure we are doing our clients any favors when we allow inquiries on their homes to go to some guy at another firm who never set foot in their living room. “Hire me and I’ll make sure the guy who bought the zip code gets the calls” doesn’t sound too compelling to me.

This is where the syndicators play both ends against the middle: they sell their high traffic and exposure, then have a highly caffeineted sales team contact agents and promise them buyer leads if they pay $XX a month. This puts the agent next to anyone’s listings in that zip code who haven’t paid themselves. I virtually pay an annuity every month to box out Joe Meatball from getting the calls on my listings, and I get a perk for being the contact guy on Bertha Hairnet’s listings. Fair? Hardly, it is the cost of doing business.  

When a home is multiple listed, it goes to literally hundreds of websites automatically thanks to the IDX (Internet Data Exchange) feed to search sites of cooperating brokerages, association searches (Like MLSLI.com on Long Island) and national aggregators. The IDX feed is the real time data from MLS. If the information is wrong, it is the fault of the broker, so they have to be on their toes. The trend appears to be that the providers of the content, the listing brokers, are taking back control of their data to ensure accuracy and certainty that they field the consumer inquiries. This takes the property off some popular websites, but if more firms do this those websites may also lose their popularity. That could make them re-think some of their policies. 

ARG -and Edina- have made  their counterpunch. ARG, with about 25 agents and 41 listing on their website is about the same size as my firm. This took some thought and backbone. 

Active Rain January 28, 2012

How the “Buyer’s Market” Mentality is Hurting Buyers

Buyer's market mentality can hurt the buyerI have written before on what a buyer’s market is and what a buyer’s market isn’t. Westchester County and our surroundings are a sought after destination; even if a home has been on the market for a year, once the price is right it will sell. I wish I could impress this upon a few buyers who have lost opportuntities when more motivated people came along and outbid them.  

We recently listed a newer build in a desirable subdivision. While it was a short sale, it was also upscale. Not long afterward, an offer came in almost 15% below asking price, a hefty discount not supported by any other market activity. The rationale? It’s a buyer’s market!

The seller countered, and the would-be buyer raised their number gradually, but well short of what we thought we could submit to the bank for acceptance (by “we” I mean my seller and their attorney). This went on for weeks. They never came up to the bottom line number we felt we could work with, and this resulted in some frustrated emails and phone calls from the agent. Then even the buyer called me directly. I don’t know if the buyer thought they could be more convincing than the professional they had representing them, but I told the person both times that there was no comparable sale that justified accepting the offer. 

“But it’s a buyer’s market!” I was told. The house has been for sale for TWO WHOLE MONTHS and hasn’t sold. I was risking having the bank take the house back if my client didn’t take their offer. Furthermore, I was told, they were perfectly happy to wait until the bank repossessed and buy it at foreclosure to get their price. 

How lovely. This actually happened with two different byers on the same house- the same pattern and rationale. 

In each case, I asked the agent to ask the buyer to stop contacting me and go through their rep. 

Not long afterward, another buyer came along and made a stronger bid, which was accepted. They got the house.

Fatal mistake number one: Buyers should NEVER assume that they are the only game in town.  
Fatal mistake number two: A “buyers market” does not give the buyer fiat to set the market unilaterally. Comparable sales matter. 
Fatal mistake number three: When a buyer circumvents their agent and tries to negotiate on their own, they aren’t accounting for the fact that they probably suck at negotiation and are hurting their own cause.  

In all three cases, the “buyer’s market” phrase was thrown around as if it were some childhood game wildcard phrase that granted immunity from logic or true market forces. And in that buyer’s market, the would-be buyers lost a home because they were their own worst enemy. The people believed that if they gave in just a little that they’d “lose.” 

Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. 

Commentary January 26, 2012

What is it About Real Estate Agents and Dogs?

MaxThis is one of those topics I have been meaning to write about for a dog’s age (sorry) and I finally have the time and inspiration to do just that.

It is my view that an inordinate percentage of real estate agents are dog lovers. Canine devotees. Poochophiles. And they aren’t just dog owners, they rescue them  adopt them, and give them foster homes. When I peruse Facebook, I can bet that the people who are posting about a dog that needs a home are real estate licensees.

My very non-scientific observation in my 44 years is that a higher percentage of real estate people are dog people than any other occupation I know. Their dogs were always in their print and home magazine ads, they are on their web pages, in their cars, and often in their offices. They love their dogs. Actually, I should say WE love our dogs because I am one of them. We own a rescued 90 pound purebred German Shepherd who is a big goofy loveball, thinks I am the cats meow the greatest guy in the world, and adores the children. Before Max we had two yellow labs, Logan and Bella, and Logan was also a rescue who was nursed back from heartworm and near death.

I was around dogs when I was a kid. That’s my excuse. Do dogs cause people go go into real estate, or is it something else that causes the canine mania in so many of my colleagues?

I actually think that the dog things does go hand in hand with a love of homes. Dogs make a house a home. They bring love and warmth, companionship and warm fuzzies. And when you are all about a home, a dog is not a far leap.

But I think it is deeper than that, and I think what I am about to say should make our profession proud. We have compassion. By and large we are a benevolent group. Sure, there are some crummy, mercenary shazbuts in our ranks but overall we’re a home loving (often dog loving), softed hearted crowd. If we weren’t we wouldn’t be so devoted to our furry family.

Reading so many blogs and listening to my own team of agents, we lose sleep over our clients. We mother hen. We worry. We SO want them to win. We invest our selves and our efforts in a happy outcome for them. We literally bet our income we can make a difference for them. The public might think that all we see is a commission, but that’s the minority. When we look at our clients, we see a noble mission. Is it any wonder that so many of us see the same when we look into a dog’s eyes?

That’s my theory- any other ideas?

Duchess, around 1978

Active Rain January 25, 2012

Obama Housing Fix: Live in Your Car

Kenneth Cole Bill board on west side highwayI’m seldom political-I’m a capitalist, not a ideologue- and while I like President Obama, I have to say that I am incredibly disappointed by the State of the Union speech this evening for one good reason: he barely touched on housing or what he’d do to fix the industry. It is among our biggest problems and he barely went there.  I could also do without the camera on the person Mr Obama was just about to mention, because it made the whole thing seem like a choreographed effort between journalists and politicians, but I guess that’s nothing new. 

It was a grand speech and he’s a marvelous rhetoritician. There were some inspiring things he said. I agree that the American worker is the best in the world. I love the commitment to freedom around the world, and agree that nation building should start in our own back yard. But where I feel let down is the very brief minutes discussing housing that followed his patting himself on the back for the recovery of the auto industry.

What good is importing cars to Korea when you can’t pay off your mortgage with the offer on your home? There was one promise to help people reduce their principle or be able to refinance withour red tape, and that was met with a heartbreakingly tepid response from the chamber. I shook my head. 

GM is the largest auto maker int he world. Swell. I guess we should just have millions of at risk homeowners who have no equity and no straight forward way out live in their cars instead. That might as well have been the solution. It was a 75 minute campaign speech with 90 seconds devoted to our most pressing issue, housing. 

We deserve better. They aren’t listening to us. 

Highway to Hell

 

Active Rain January 24, 2012

Why We Remain an Independent Brokerage

Sold by J Philip Real EstateLet me preface my words clearly that I have no beef with franchises and treasure my many colleagues at other firms, large, small, independent and corporate. Everyone should hitch their trailer to the train that they feel best about. 

My choice is that of an independent broker with no franchise or corporate affiliations because that is right for me.  I am approached from time to time about merging with a franchise, but I don’t think that’s a fit for me. Many of the agents with our firm were at one time with a franchise. We were a better match. We also have parted ways with a small number of licensees who sought greener pastures at a franchise. That worked for them. 

The reasons for my choice have always been personal, and I have resisted writing or explaining them because I don’t want anyone to think I am knocking franchises; I would never do so. However, since I have just spent 2 paragraphs disclaiming any bias, I’ll explain why I remain an indie. 

First, I dig building my brand. It is what inspires me. I have always felt that you either build your own dream or work for someone else’s. This is mine. It matters that the name on the sign is mine. I am proud of what I have built over the past 7 years in a tough market period and a competitive area. Everyone who knows me knows what kind of a guy I am to do business with and what kind of an operation I run. When an agent joins our firm, they know they may not be expected to sell a billion dollars a month, but they are expected to be honorable above all else. And I am humbled by the group of people we have now. 

Second, I greatly value my autonomy. I never lose a moment of sleep over what a coporate entity might say about my blog posts, my methodology, or my policies. I never have to ask for permission to explore a new plan or idea. I am completely comfortable with my destiny being in my own hands- as a matter of fact, I prefer it that way. This is my masterpiece, my laboratory, and my legacy to my children. It is mine. After working 17 years for others, I am still jazzed that I work for me. It hasn’t always been easy, but it has been worth it. 

I also believe that independent firms are needed. It would be a loss if every brokerage just sort of graduated into a larger franchise  and all we had was a big-box driven market. Independent firms make a difference for both the consumer and for innovation, because we offer a choice and a fertile ground for the kind of innovation that only competition can create. I love being on the front line of that effort. 

This is highly personal, and I am sure that someone could write a very compelling reason why they are happy to be at their franchise now and forever. That’s cool. It is what makes the world go ’round. To each their own, but that is why J Philip Real Estate remains an independent brokerage. 

 

Active Rain January 21, 2012

What the Meaning of “As Is” Is in Real Estate

With apologies to Bill Clinton. 

Boarded up house Westchester Real estateMy firm sells a wide range of properties: upscale 7 figure estates right over to a $7500 trailer. Among our niches is the area broadly described as the distressed property market. This could vary from short sales to bank owned foreclosures to property that is owned free and clear but in poor shape. The latter category could be an estate home or a house that sustained fire damage. Westchester has tons of pre-war builds, and we never seem to run out of this inventory. It is often a very good opportunity. 

Virtually all distressed property, especially bank owned and short sales, is sold “as is.” Even a neophyte buyer seeking something they can fix up can deduce that if they want the fixing done before they buy that it really isn’t a fixer upper anymore.

With the new year and new freshman class of buyers entering the market, the definition of “as is” appears to be subject to a nuanced interpretation that challenges the meaning of the word “is.” A contributing factor to this trend is a pool of licensees who say they are buyer agents but seldom do more than unlock doors and act as carrier pigeons for uneducated buyer clients they do not have the intestinal fortitude to advise. 

If you seek to buy a distressed home sold “as is” that means that you are buying it subject to much of the following:

  • Code violations
  • Old open permits
  • Non conforming work, such as illegal baths, decks, or additions
  • Environmental issues like mold, radon, and submerged oil tanks 
  • Shag carpeting
What you see is what you get. So look carefully. 
 
Another inclusion of “as is” is the precept that the buyer’s questions on possible changes to the property, such as additions, demolition and rebuilding, and other types of restoration, are their responsibility. The “buyer agent” should accompany their buyer to the building department and get answers. Asking the listing agent is not due diligence, and can land you in hot water if you skip doing your homework on behalf of the client. Get down to White Plains, Yonkers or Chappaqua and pull that property file at the building department. It is your job. 
 
The ironic side of this particular issue is that many offers are accompanied with reassurances and oaths from the agent that their buyer is experienced, savvy and been around a while. Oftentimes, it is quite the opposite- the buyer is buying their first inventment, possibly getting money from family members, all of whom offer well meaning but misinformed advice, filling the vacuum of their agent’s input. 
 
I should conclude by saying that this is not a rant; I am the listing agent and get the sale no matter who buys. However, from where I sit, I see people lose deals left and right because they don’t know the rules of engagement. It is ironic, that the agent often doesn’t want to rock the boat by saying inconvenient truths, but that agent can eventually lose the client after months of running around when the buyer gets frustrated that they are not getting their intended result. 
 
The takeaway for agents is that you need to do your due diligence and not rely on the listing agent. You also need to advise your client on everything, even the uncomfortable things. 
For consumers, “as is” means just what it says, what you see is what you get, and asking for more can leave you out in the cold.