I have written before on what a buyer’s market is and what a buyer’s market isn’t. Westchester County and our surroundings are a sought after destination; even if a home has been on the market for a year, once the price is right it will sell. I wish I could impress this upon a few buyers who have lost opportuntities when more motivated people came along and outbid them.  

We recently listed a newer build in a desirable subdivision. While it was a short sale, it was also upscale. Not long afterward, an offer came in almost 15% below asking price, a hefty discount not supported by any other market activity. The rationale? It’s a buyer’s market!

The seller countered, and the would-be buyer raised their number gradually, but well short of what we thought we could submit to the bank for acceptance (by “we” I mean my seller and their attorney). This went on for weeks. They never came up to the bottom line number we felt we could work with, and this resulted in some frustrated emails and phone calls from the agent. Then even the buyer called me directly. I don’t know if the buyer thought they could be more convincing than the professional they had representing them, but I told the person both times that there was no comparable sale that justified accepting the offer. 

“But it’s a buyer’s market!” I was told. The house has been for sale for TWO WHOLE MONTHS and hasn’t sold. I was risking having the bank take the house back if my client didn’t take their offer. Furthermore, I was told, they were perfectly happy to wait until the bank repossessed and buy it at foreclosure to get their price. 

How lovely. This actually happened with two different byers on the same house- the same pattern and rationale. 

In each case, I asked the agent to ask the buyer to stop contacting me and go through their rep. 

Not long afterward, another buyer came along and made a stronger bid, which was accepted. They got the house.

Fatal mistake number one: Buyers should NEVER assume that they are the only game in town.  
Fatal mistake number two: A “buyers market” does not give the buyer fiat to set the market unilaterally. Comparable sales matter. 
Fatal mistake number three: When a buyer circumvents their agent and tries to negotiate on their own, they aren’t accounting for the fact that they probably suck at negotiation and are hurting their own cause.  

In all three cases, the “buyer’s market” phrase was thrown around as if it were some childhood game wildcard phrase that granted immunity from logic or true market forces. And in that buyer’s market, the would-be buyers lost a home because they were their own worst enemy. The people believed that if they gave in just a little that they’d “lose.” 

Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. 

I’m seldom political-I’m a capitalist, not a ideologue- and while I like President Obama, I have to say that I am incredibly disappointed by the State of the Union speech this evening for one good reason: he barely touched on housing or what he’d do to fix the industry. It is among our biggest problems and he barely went there.  I could also do without the camera on the person Mr Obama was just about to mention, because it made the whole thing seem like a choreographed effort between journalists and politicians, but I guess that’s nothing new. 

It was a grand speech and he’s a marvelous rhetoritician. There were some inspiring things he said. I agree that the American worker is the best in the world. I love the commitment to freedom around the world, and agree that nation building should start in our own back yard. But where I feel let down is the very brief minutes discussing housing that followed his patting himself on the back for the recovery of the auto industry.

What good is importing cars to Korea when you can’t pay off your mortgage with the offer on your home? There was one promise to help people reduce their principle or be able to refinance withour red tape, and that was met with a heartbreakingly tepid response from the chamber. I shook my head. 

GM is the largest auto maker int he world. Swell. I guess we should just have millions of at risk homeowners who have no equity and no straight forward way out live in their cars instead. That might as well have been the solution. It was a 75 minute campaign speech with 90 seconds devoted to our most pressing issue, housing. 

We deserve better. They aren’t listening to us. 

Let me preface my words clearly that I have no beef with franchises and treasure my many colleagues at other firms, large, small, independent and corporate. Everyone should hitch their trailer to the train that they feel best about. 

My choice is that of an independent broker with no franchise or corporate affiliations because that is right for me.  I am approached from time to time about merging with a franchise, but I don’t think that’s a fit for me. Many of the agents with our firm were at one time with a franchise. We were a better match. We also have parted ways with a small number of licensees who sought greener pastures at a franchise. That worked for them. 

The reasons for my choice have always been personal, and I have resisted writing or explaining them because I don’t want anyone to think I am knocking franchises; I would never do so. However, since I have just spent 2 paragraphs disclaiming any bias, I’ll explain why I remain an indie. 

First, I dig building my brand. It is what inspires me. I have always felt that you either build your own dream or work for someone else’s. This is mine. It matters that the name on the sign is mine. I am proud of what I have built over the past 7 years in a tough market period and a competitive area. Everyone who knows me knows what kind of a guy I am to do business with and what kind of an operation I run. When an agent joins our firm, they know they may not be expected to sell a billion dollars a month, but they are expected to be honorable above all else. And I am humbled by the group of people we have now. 

Second, I greatly value my autonomy. I never lose a moment of sleep over what a coporate entity might say about my blog posts, my methodology, or my policies. I never have to ask for permission to explore a new plan or idea. I am completely comfortable with my destiny being in my own hands- as a matter of fact, I prefer it that way. This is my masterpiece, my laboratory, and my legacy to my children. It is mine. After working 17 years for others, I am still jazzed that I work for me. It hasn’t always been easy, but it has been worth it. 

I also believe that independent firms are needed. It would be a loss if every brokerage just sort of graduated into a larger franchise  and all we had was a big-box driven market. Independent firms make a difference for both the consumer and for innovation, because we offer a choice and a fertile ground for the kind of innovation that only competition can create. I love being on the front line of that effort. 

This is highly personal, and I am sure that someone could write a very compelling reason why they are happy to be at their franchise now and forever. That’s cool. It is what makes the world go ’round. To each their own, but that is why J Philip Real Estate remains an independent brokerage. 

With apologies to Bill Clinton. 

My firm sells a wide range of properties: upscale 7 figure estates right over to a $7500 trailer. Among our niches is the area broadly described as the distressed property market. This could vary from short sales to bank owned foreclosures to property that is owned free and clear but in poor shape. The latter category could be an estate home or a house that sustained fire damage. Westchester has tons of pre-war builds, and we never seem to run out of this inventory. It is often a very good opportunity. 

Virtually all distressed property, especially bank owned and short sales, is sold “as is.” Even a neophyte buyer seeking something they can fix up can deduce that if they want the fixing done before they buy that it really isn’t a fixer upper anymore.

With the new year and new freshman class of buyers entering the market, the definition of “as is” appears to be subject to a nuanced interpretation that challenges the meaning of the word “is.” A contributing factor to this trend is a pool of licensees who say they are buyer agents but seldom do more than unlock doors and act as carrier pigeons for uneducated buyer clients they do not have the intestinal fortitude to advise. 

If you seek to buy a distressed home sold “as is” that means that you are buying it subject to much of the following:

• Code violations
• Old open permits
• Non conforming work, such as illegal baths, decks, or additions
• Environmental issues like mold, radon, and submerged oil tanks 
• Shag carpeting

Tonight was the installation party for the Hudson Gateway Association of Realtors. Executives and directors of both HGAR and the Empire Access MLS (EAMLS) were sworn in for 2012, along with drinks, dinner and dancing. This will be my 3rd term as MLS Vice president, and it doubled as date night for me and Ann. 

One of my agents took the initiative to attend, and being a newer agent, she took it all in with great interest. It was a chance to be in a social atmosphere, but of course the chat always veers toward business. Barbara, my agent, brought up a deal she is about to have clients sign contracts for on a condo worth over $700,000. Even in Westchester, that is pretty good, and I told her so. 

She kidded me “You blew it by giving me those buyers!” and we had a giggle about that. I explained that I actually didn’t blow it- she made the sale. Had I taken it myself, not only would I parhaps not make the sale, but it would take me away from running the company. 99% of buyers are given to the agents like her, and my efforts have to be more toward listings and overseeing our growing team of 25 agents. That is how we are building the company.

If I were to cherry pick high dollar buyers and throw the scraps to the team, I’d lose. Not only would it sow discontent with the team, it would take my eyes off the ball and the plan which has enabled us to progress these past few years. When I am running around with one buyer, I am being an agent. I have to be a broker and get more buyers to my agents- not keep them for myself. When my team wins, I win. I remember my first boss out of college in another industry telling me “Rich people cash big checks, truly wealthy people write them.” I never  forgot that. 

If she keeps getting accepted offers like this one, I am only too happy to blow it more often. 

Month by month, I have watched the 2011 Westchester Real estate market in comparison to the same month in 2010 to see how we’d stack up. Would values rise? Would transaction totals improve? 2011 started out behind the curve compared to 2010, but my theory was that 2010 started out artificially high due to the housing stimulus which ended at the end of April 2010. Going into November, it looked like we’d at least catch up to 2010 if we could hold serve in the 4th quarter. 

We did not hold serve. As a matter of fact, the 4th quarter of 2011 was behind that of 2010 by over 40 transactions and over $50,000 in median price, which was a very disappointing finish. I have my theory about that, but first the numbers:

In 2010, a total of 4018 single family homes were sold in Westchester at a median price of $630,000.
In 2011, a total of 3839 single family homes were sold in Westchester at a median price of $600,000.

Overall, transaction totals were down 4%.
Overall, median price was down 5%.

While these are not cataclysmic declines, they do speak to the malaise that continues to dominate the housing market. Moreover, they do point to 2010 being somewhat of a dead cat bounce after the nadir of 2009, when only 3358 homes sold at a median price of $580,000. A “dead cat bounce” is a brief bounce up not unlike a “dead cat” bouncing after impact with the terra firma. 

The good news: We are indeed up from the lowest point.
The bad news: The market remains flat. And that will most likely be normal for the foreseeable future. 

So why did we trip over the finish line? What contributed to the poor 4th quarter when so many forces would want to close out the year, and the pipeline was swollen with homes under contract? 

The pipeline was swollen with homes under contract. It still is, with almost 700 homes under contract or pending sale. Here is what I wrote in November:

October sucked. The sad thing isn’t that buyers aren’t buying. They just can’t get to the closing table for a variety of reasons. The data on pending sales shows a ton of deals on the 1-yard line that can’t get into the end zone. 

…

I hate to be right, but we still have 674 deals under contract or pending sale at that same median price of $499,000. 190 of them are pending, meaning they should close in the next week or two. But they won’t. 

And that is exactly what happened. Between short sales that weren’t approved or mortgages that didn’t get commitment or clear to close, the pending deals killed the recovery in vitro. 

Until we see a commitment on the lenders part to part with their delinquent loans via short sale and an equal commitment to loaning money without borrowers having to regain their virtue while standing on their head spitting nickels, the market will sputter. 

Consider this: Two weeks into 2012, we are down 45 sales and almost $100,000 in median price. That’s not a big sample, but it’s not encouraging either. 

I’d rather be a buyer than a seller! 

This home we just listed in Port Chester was appraised a few years ago at over $500,000. It is now on the market for $360,000. 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, fireplace, garage, den, 1st floor laundry, and 2400 square feet. Not bad. Now THAT is a buyer’s market. 

To take advantage of the low prices and rates, get yourself a free Listingbook account and search the MLS like an agent. 

What is market share in real estate? 

Market share could mean percentage of closed transactions in a given area. 
Market share could mean the percent of closed dollar volume in a given area.
Market share could be the amount of inventory for sale in a given area. 

At around 11am today, market share took on a different meaning. Even though I am based in Westchester County, I have three listings in Highland, New York in Ulster County. And as a working real estate broker with a family, there are times when the best way to balance things out is to multitask: we pile the kids in the car and have them come on a business-related trip. It could be to put up a sign, install a lockbox, or open a door for someone. I had a little bit of everything today. And once I was finished with my brief Sunday morning appointment, it was made known to me by my beloved that our children were in need of, um, facilities. 

Our little blessings are 9,8,7 and 4. Taking them to a restaurant is not fun. And we’re a solid hour from home and hearth. Ann suggested perhaps heading back our listing that I was just in, but it was winterized; you never use the bathroom of a winterized house. What to do? 

But wait! I have other listings in this town! And one, whose owner I just spoke to on Friday, was close by. The owner was out of town for the weekend, so I gave her a quick call. A teacher and a lovely woman, she laughed heartily and gave her porcelain blessing. The kids were on the their best behavior, I checked on my listing, and the drive home was devoid of panic or bladder-driven drama. 

So that’s not a bad litmus test. If you are in a town and you have a choice of three clients to call for a little help if nature calls, you’ve got yourself a little bit of market share. 

Incidentally, the house we were in was pretty awesome: a pre- war Victorian with amazing charm and woodwork- here is the link to see the photos on Homespotters. 1 Tillson Ave Highland, NY, 12528

No one has asked me to, but I have taken down the post on the Hoax. I think I had a right to be critical of the way they handled this in Seattle, and I do think that we are owed an apology, but I also feel that the passions stirred are not going in a constructive direction. The point has been made. I would ask that all 20+ people who reblogged the post put it into draft. 

We all have our own timetable and criteria on what the right thing to do should look like, and I held the staff to a standard of my own out of a frustration that I was both in the dark and an impression that nothing more would be done. I’ll trust that the right thing will be done and live with the decisions made by AR. 

Little in this world looks exactly as we see it. For example, some have asked me if Melina Tomson’s dissenting comment bothered me, and you should know that Melina and I are friends and like each other quite a bit. Well, I like her. My friends can tell me anything. 

Going forward, what we should do is re commit to being good to each other. We should welcome new members and exchange ideas. We’ve made our point here, and let’s allow the wheel to turn and trust Niki Bob and Kerrie. I would never disable comments but I will delete any meanies. 

To be clear, we have a right to be pissed and we have a right to a straight story. But now we should give the staff the room to do their job unencumbered by any agenda other than the mission of the platform. Back to work. 

As a matter of fact, whoever writes, in the next hour, the most hyper local weltanschauung empowering posts with the nicest pictures wins 50,000 points and an iPad. Ok, 5000 points and a calculator. Hold that thought. 

I remember the conversation like it was yesterday, even though it was 1997 or 1998. The typically sweet, warm and cordial client and I were discussing our next move on a purchase offer, and I was advising them against what struck me as making a rash response. “Well if you don’t agree, Phil,” she said “Maybe we should just call the listing agent and deal with him directly.” It was out of character for this person, over the top, out of the blue, and hostile. And it was also very temporary. Everything worked out fine, but it made me appreciate that the stress of a real estate transaction can bring out some serious passions in people. That’s just how it has always been.

Stress can make a person cross-eyed crazy. 

That was 14 or 15 years ago in a healthy economy at lower prices. 

Now…add the shadow of foreclosure to the mix, a recession, and a terribly depressed housing market and you’ve got yourself a real party. Now we are talking 3-ring circus, half a bottle of vodka won’t calm me down stress. 

My job as a broker is to diffuse the stress and be the voice of reason. That’s not always easy. Take the lady in my example back in the 1990’s. If she were buying a short sale and dealing with stressed out homeowners facing foreclosure and financial crisis, it would be like throwing gas on an already roaring fire. 

The thing that all buyers should understand is that what might, in the fog of stress and emotion, look like manipulation or game playing on the part of a distressed seller is actually just normal people trying to cope. For example: I have had situations where buyers have been eager to get the seller to sign the contract. However, there have been delays on the seller’s part due in large part to their circumstances. A signature might be delayed because a divorced spouse is out of state or working funny hours at a second job to make ends meet. Or a financially distressed seller can’t make a repair until after they squirrel up some extra money. 

And yet the buyers sometimes don’t see that. They see delay. Games being played. Shenanigans. That’s what it seems like to them. 

What the buyer often doesn’t understand is that their sensibilities are innaccurate because they are stressed and on edge in a situation that occurs in life but a handful of times. The seller isn’t playing them. They are just dealing with hardship. It is all in how you interpret through your mental filter. The best thing for the principals to do in a sale- especially a distress sale- is to practice deep breathing and not trust their physical impulses. Suspicion of the unknown may have helped our ancestors survive with sabre-toothed tigers, but it doesn’t help negotiate real estate. 

That’s what brokers are for. 

I have a conference all day in Manhattan tomorrow, so my Sunday was even busier than usual. At 9am I was at a kitchen table, discussing the next move for a new client. I seldom need “extra” motivation to get the job done for folks- I have 4 kids and a company to run. But sometimes, inspiration does find me. This little sweet thing was going to be put in another room, but I asked that she stay with us. I have had two yellow labs in my life, and adored them both. She looks- and acts- just like my Bella, whom we lost in 2008. 

So yes, I am going to help her daddy sell the house and find a new home that is pet friendly. It isn’t just the paycheck; I am about a roof over your head, home and hearth, and yes, a friendly space for the furry family member. 

I’ll be the first person to admit that I do a crummy job of leveraging my database of past clients. We don’t have any regular communications like newsletters or emails, and that is a lost opportunity. The company will be 7 years old this June, and by that time I will have a good system in place to reach out to our past clientele with some regularity.

That said, in the past few months I have noticed a nice trend: we are getting more referrals from past clients. It makes sense; with almost 300 closed transactions since 2005, somebody was bound to refer us a friend or relative. And they are. 

When I started the firm, I actually hadn’t sold a house in 5 years. I kept my license up and qualified as a broker because of my active career as an agent from 1996-2000 in Rochester, NY. But that was 300 miles away, and I had no referral base in Westchester. I started the company from zero, literally, earning every client through prospecting. Nothing was easy, and no one looked me up at the behest of a friend or relative. It was all my beating the bushes. 

Three months after the firm was founded, my brother Paul passed away very suddenly. Two years in, the Sub Prime Meltdown hit. The following year the Financial Crisis hit. Two and three year old companies seldom have much of a referral base of past clients to draw from. We sure didn’t. But we weathered the storm, and as 2012 begins, I can point to half a dozen active files that are sourced from past business and not from marketing. Each year, the percentage has grown, and I have to say that among the most rewarding feelings in the world is a past client entrusting their loved ones to my care. 

As I said, among my plans in 2012 is to do a better job of being in touch with past clientele. It isn’t just about soliciting referrals, but also to be a resource to those that trusted me in the past. However, it is smart business too, and no matter if people think of me because we’re in touch or they just recall a good job, I have to say that the more referrals we get the more I love them. It may sound a tad corny, but it really does inspire me. 

I am a huge fan of the Lake Superior State University Banished Words list. It is an annual survey of overused words and perusing past lists gives some insight into the pop culture of the time. Things like this really scratch that BA in English itch I get sometimes! 

What can you buy in Yonkers for $350,000? So glad you asked. I happen to have a fresh example of just such a home that closed earlier today for $350,000 right in Yonkers a stone’s throw from Bronxville. The property is a charming Tudor with loads of awesome, pre-war appointments like leaded glass windows, classic molding, pretty hardwood floors, and awesome curb appeal that. 

The home has 3 bedrooms, a full basement, a detatched garage, a rear patio, a walk up attic, formal dining room, first floor den, and a woodburning fireplace. The location is also wonderful, literally minutes from the Bronxville train station.

J. Philip Real Estate listed the property and brought the buyer as well- we wish both our seller client and buyer customer nothing but the best in their new surroundings. Total time on market from listing to closing: 86 days. This one went fast with multiple offers. But we have more- just log onto WestchesterDreamHome.com to find one of your very own. 

My pals at the Lucky Strikers Social Media Club will be putting on the 2012 edition of Real Estate BarCamp this Monday, January 9th from 9am to 5 (ish) at Simple Studios at 134 w 29th St in Manhattan. If you are a licensee and have never been to a BarCamp, you should check it out. If you’ve been to one, you’ll know what I mean. The incredible amount of cutting edge learning and peer to peer exchange of information at these events, to say nothing of FUN, is unparralleled.

Admission is $30 and that is the best deal on 8 solid hours of learning you’ll ever see. 

For those of you reading this who are consumers, you need to knwo that there are industry professionals who attend these events not to get continuing education credit or get out of the house for a day, but to give you better results and service. A commitment to learning, a need to be current and a desire to be ahead of the curve is paramount to selling real estate for happy clients in the 21st Century. 

For more information, log onto ReBarCampNY.com. If you are in the NY area or can get here, make plans! 

This past Memorial Day I wrote a post entitled Memorial Day 2011: Giving Back To a Veteran in Need. In it, I announced that my company would sell a home for a US service veteran facing hardship for zero commission. My father was a veteran of World War II and Korea, and I asked for the community to let me now if anyone knew of a veteran who could benefit from this. I have not yet, so, being loud mouth I am, I have decided to raise my voice. 

As I stated this past May:

There is one thing I am going to do in my little corner of the world to make a difference to a veteran in the next 12 months. I will list and sell one veteran’s house in the next year pro bono. They have to have a special need of some sort (it can be financial) because it is a waste to do it for a vet who is flush with cash or in a short sale, but so long as there is a DD-214 and the possibility of an equity advantage I’ll get it done for this veteran gratis as my way of giving back. I can do this for one veteran (or their survivors), and it can be in any of the following counties: Westchester, Rockland, Putnam, Dutchess, Fairfield (CT), Bronx, Queens, or Orange. There is minimal small print to the offer, because I can’t guarantee that a buyer brokerage will be cool with forgoing their end, but there will be no listing commission. 

If you know of a veteran who needs to sell and a pro bono arrangement would make a difference between hardship or not, please let me know via phone or email. 

If you are a fellow broker-owner, you feel like following suit and such an arrangement would not be an undue burden to the sustainability to your business, I encourage you to join me.

I have started a Facebook group for like-minded brokerages who feel that this would be a worthy endeavor. If you’d like to join me, please log onto Real Estate Brokers For Veterans group and add your name to the list of brokers- this way, we can have a list of colleagues in the different markets to whom we can refer veterans when the opportunity arises. The late Joe Ferrara often said that real estate licensees should have pro bono obligations just as attorneys. We don’t, so this is strictly voluntary. 

If you are a broker and feel this is a worthy cause, please join me. Given the opportunity cost of working a file for no fee when you could be on a paying file, please only do so if you can absorb the work- it is not a suicide pact. Only give if you can. But if you can, please do log on and join. 

And if you know of a US service veteran who may benefit from this in the Metropilitan New York City area, please email me. 

Update: The Fisher House is an excellent alternative for your contributions, large or small. If this works for you, join us on Facebook! http://www.facebook.com/groups/realestatebrokersforveterans/

Another year has come and gone, and the real estate industry continues to plug along under the malaise of the housing downturn that has yet to hear the word “recovery” since the 2007 Sub Prime domino was the first to fall. Our firm was only 2 at that time, and we are still standing. Actually, we’re doing a bit better than standing. Here’s how we did in 2011: 

Out of 872 MLS member firms, our company was ranked 53rd in closed sales. This puts us in the top 6% of brokerages in our Multiple Listing System, which is run by the second largest association in the State of New York. 

Of the $17 million in sales volume we closed, over a full 3rd was from our growing team, a huge increase in percentages over previous years. This was among my most important goals from last year at this time- to grow our family of producers. I expect that the trend will continue. I predict that I will be less than half of the dollar volume in 2012, and that my own personal production will still be higher. 

Regarding my own personal production: I was ranked 29th out of over 6500 agents for closed sales in 2011. This actually constitutes a “down” year for me personally, as I was previously in the top 10 from 2007-2010. However, this was by design. I sent far more business to my team, the production was distributed among our associates, and we’ll parlay that experience into a stronger 2012. Dozens of inquiries a week are given to our team to follow up with, and given the caution of the public, our conversion rate is encouraging. 

Regarding the team: there are 25 licensees associated with the company with several more waiting in the wings. In a climate that has seen some firms close or merge with others, I am proud that the brand we are building is growing. As happy as I am with the talent and hard work of our agents, prouder still am I of their integrity and scruples. If you work with a member of this firm, you can expect that they’ll be fierce, ethical advocates for your best interests. When my caller ID is the number of one of my agents, the typical conversation is not how to just make the sale alone; it is almost always how to take the best care of the client. We don’t hire just anyone here. You can’t teach honor. I am humbled to have these guys with me. 

I was recently re-elected to my 3rd term as MLS Vice President, and I was on the committee which oversaw the merger of three local associations into the new Hudson Gateway Association of Realtors, which now covers 4 counties of New York City’s northern suburbs. The name is pending, but the merger is in full effect in January. I was humbled to be included in this endeavor. 

That which is not growing is dead. The plans for 2012 include a cutting edge revamping of the company website, an overall increase in our web marketing, and to put every listing the company carries to be on page 1 of Google for the most common consumer local search terms. We will add more quality agents and brokers. They will also have better tools with which to serve their clients and build their practices.  

Behind the numbers are some awesome clients, all of whom have a story. We helped some short sale clients leave their situations with dignity. We helped some first time home buyers build that first nest. We wiped our share of tears, we gave our share of happy hugs, and the firm got some new friends who will refer future buisness because we took care of them. I am greatful to everyone who chose us as their broker in 2011. 

Men can’t give birth. Next to my family, this brokerage is my baby. It is my name, my reputation, and my passion. Anyone who knows me knows this- I love building my brand, and the goals for 2012 are aligned with that purpose. 

I seldom reblog, but Doug’s post speaks to the nationwide crisis of confidence that the american consumer is experiencing. Doug is in Alexandria, Louisiana, about as different fom Westchester County as you’ll find. I lived in Louisiana in 1993-94 and it was a different world from New York, and indeed, much of the south as well. But that’s the point- all real estate is local, and what is occuring in Miami and Las Vegas does not translate to White Plains or Yorktown Heights. 

My comment was as follows, and it is worth repeating here: 

I think the operative word for buyers hese days is “caution.” More time to decide, seeing more homes, bringing more relatives on 2nd and 3rd visits, bringing their contractor friend through, checking title, and then more speculatively lower offers. It is a sign of the low ebb in consumer confidence. 

It is also a sign that the media does a poor job of reporting local data. Some people in Louisiana or New York read about the issues in the sunbelt or southwest and assume the issues are local- they aren’t.