Company News November 11, 2013

My Return From Blogging Hiatus

New LogoWhile I never intended to take a formal break from writing, one day a guy wakes up and sees that he hasn’t posted an update since August. It wasn’t planned; nothing bad happened to me. I have just always felt that I would never “force it,” and I had nothing to say for a while. More accurately, if I did have something to say, I jotted a few notes for the day when I’d actually have the time to do it justice. And so here I am, hunting and pecking again.

While I took off from writing, Lord knows I didn’t take time off from working. Quite the contrary- things have progressed such that my return post tonight will get you up to speed on all the news around here. I have been busy.

First things first: Business is up. Year to date, transactions total is up 41% over the same period in 2012. Dollar volume closed is up 83%. You read that right- we have closed nearly double the dollar volume in 2013 that we closed last year for the same period. That keeps a broker busy.

The team is growing, in more ways than one. Entering 2013, we had about 32 licensed agents with the brokerage. A handful hung up their licenses, but we’ll hit 40 associates by the end of the year because we have more than replaced them with some excellent, talented professionals who have joined the firm.

J. Philip Commercial Group, LLC is born. My partner in crime, associate broker Jenn Maher, is a commercial specialist. In looking at the landscape of the local market, we felt that there was an opportunity to do more than just take on some commercial business. We saw an opening for a stand alone brokerage we can run together that does commercial business exclusively. And that’s just what we did. J. Philip Commercial Group will open in Mahopac on January 4, 2014. You don’t start a new company lightly. We saw a confluence of opportunity and our own resources, planned thoroughly, and we expect good things.

We have an REO division. Associate broker Michael Fradianni is our new REO manager, in charge of the sale of Bank owned forecosures. This is an exciting development. Michael is a great guy and has tremendous experience in this very specialized field. 

914Rentals.com is almost out of beta.  We have some agents in the firm who have asked to start a rental division, and work has begun in earnest. It will be up and running by the end of the fourth quarter of this year.

2014 MLS President. After 4 years of serving as Vice President of the Hudson Gateway Multiple Listing Service, I have been confirmed as 2014 President. I look forward to serving my colleagues in this capacity, and I hope to make a difference in what is a changing industry.

Other good things are in the pipeline and until they are solidified I will refrain from making any formal announcement. Suffice to say that much of our growth is fueled by good talent joining the firm, and we have been approached by some great people about expansion in the form of branch offices and even a property management company. You don’t dive into these things without good planning, so until arrangements are made concrete I’ll leave you with that teaser.

So yeah, I’ve been busy, and haven’t had much time or inclination to write as I have worked on these things. However, I was inspired to write tonight, and I expect to do so again very soon.

 

Pampage August 28, 2013

Greg Fischer on Moving

I seldom “curate” content of other blogs but this is too thought provoking and insightful to not share. Greg Fischer, a pretty profound real estate broker in Fort Worth, Texas penned an outstanding piece on moving entitled Moving the feelings|Sometimes boxes are the easiest things to pack.

VERY good stuff, and while you are there (why are you still reading this?) consider that a really good licensee knows all too well that the hardest part of moving is often not the physical labor.

 

Buying August 23, 2013

Why You Can’t Steal a Co-op

While the real estate market here in Westchester and the Hudson Valley is certainly on the mend, one vestige of the old buyer’s market, the would be-buyer with the low ball offer, is still with us. Typically, the justification for the low offer is one of two things: the property is unsold, or the property needs work. In cases where the home is unsold, well, duh. If it were sold you wouldn’t be considering it for purchase. In cases where the place needs work, the agent population has done a poor job of educating the public on the adjustments for improvements needed. For example, while a new kitchen might certainly cost $20,000 or more, it is not always valid to make a $20,000 adjustment. Why? Because the current kitchen is not worth $0, that’s why.

Still, lowball offers do persist, mostly on the wishful thinking speculation of lookers playing the numbers game and hoping they can catch lightening in a bottle. One sector of the market where such a practice is more futile is the cooperative apartment. While a low offer might have a 1 in 50 or 1 in 100 shot in the case of a single family home or condo, with co-ops the odds are almost impossible, even if the seller were to agree. The reason is simple: the co-op board can reject the purchase on the grounds of the price.

From the New York Times last October:

Co-op boards are rejecting sales outright if they deem the price of the apartment to be too low.

Some boards are so determined to hold the line on prices that they are unswayed by buyers’ offers to place years of maintenance fees in escrow, to increase the down payment and even to pay in cash.

Co-op purchases are subject to co-op board approval. The board can reject a perfectly qualified buyer with no reason given, and they can also reject a sale for being too low. In technical terms, they are doing so to preserve the share prices of the complex. In a co-op transaction, the purchase is not really of real property, but of stock in a corporation, and instead of a deed, the new owner (still often referred to by many co-ops as a lessee) get a proprietary lease.

Now I certainly understand how someone from Ohio or Nebraska would read this and shake their head. I have often said that if co ops were introduced in 2013 as a new form of home ownership they would be dismissed as a scam.  They are whacked. But they are also very common in New York, and not just Manhattan. Westchester has long regarded co-ops as the “starter home of Westchester” because there really isn’t any other type of home you could commonly  buy -and live in- for under $150,000 and often under 100k. But low offers persist for a variety of reasons.

Co-op board have one mission: to preserve, protect and defend the share prices. They therefore evaluate the financial qualifications of the prospective buyer closely to ensure they can pay their common charges and be a responsible member of their cooperative with great scrutiny. But it doesn’t stop there. They can, and do, evaluate the purchase based on the price. many sales have died because of this, but many of those contracts should never have been submitted. Forewarned is forearmed. If you are in the market to buy a co-op, do understand this fact: many boards will not approve a price if it is too low.

Industry News August 19, 2013

ZtreetEasy: Zillow Buys StreetEasy

The casual consumer may not find this subject terribly interesting. Market watchers and industry people will be talking about it all day.

Earlier this month, President Obama was interviewed by Zillow CEO Spencer Rascoff on the state of housing in the United States. The National Association of Realtors, feeling snubbed perhaps (although they shouldn’t. The White House is reaching out to private industry, and NAR is a trade organization with an active Political Action Committee, RPAC), issued an embarrassing statement referring to Zillow as a “housing entertainment website.” NAR members like myself were  not too happy with NAR’s response, considering it far below the largest trade organization in North America and the voice of real estate.

Well, that “entertainment website” just bought StreetEasy.com, and the acquisition presents a tectonic shift in the largest real estate market in the USA one half  hour south of my kitchen table, Manhattan. Ironically, Manhattan is the one place in the USA where NAR’s presence is all but irrelevant, as the area is dominated by the Real Estate Board of New York or REBNY. REBNY split off from NAR in the mid 1990’s. With some clear market overlap with Westchester and the suburbs, this affects me and many of my colleagues. The ripple effect with New York has always been clear.

What does it all mean?

Zillow and StreetEasy come from opposite ends of the real estate world. Seattle based Zillow has been fighting hard for years to make sure their data accuracy is improved. Given that Zillow now ranks ahead of Realtor.com as top site in consumer traffic, it is a priority. As a Zillow Agent Advisory Board member myself, I know this firsthand. Zillow gets their data from many different sources, mostly 3rd party systems, and that has posed a challenge and caused tension with the brokerage community.

Complicating matters for Zillow is the fact that Manhattan has no MLS the way most markets know a Multiple Listing Service. REBNY does have their own database, known as the RLS, but it is not on any uniform platform. The Manhattan Association of Realtors operates an MLS, but its market share is small. There are therefore few, comprehensive “go-to” sources for Zillow to draw Manhattan housing data.

Manhattan-based StreetEasy, however, is considered the defacto MLS for Manhattan, supplanting REBNY’s own public portals and the long-revered NY Times as the conduit of choice for consumers. I do some business in the very northern part of Manhattan toward Inwood and Tryon Park, and StreetEasy has served us well. Manhattan brokers swear by it. It is the toast of the town.

A move like this is, arguably, a bigger coup than the President Obama interview in terms of impact on the New York market. They have leapfrogged to the apex of both broker and  consumer choice for online home search in a very unique, peerless market. Last year Zillow purchased Buyfolio (now known as Agentfolio), a very good home search interface for brokers and their clients, so this is not Zillow’s first effort to beef up their involvement in the New York City market. It does put them on top convincingly.

So, what Zillow has basically done is purchase Babe Ruth. And every New Yorker knows what that means.

Market August 8, 2013

What Can You Buy in Ossining for $675,000?

Hudson ViewWhat does $675,000 buy in Ossining, New York? 

I’ll tell you.

$675,000 just got someone a 2004 built 3600 square foot 5 bedroom 3.5 bath colonial with a killer view of the Hudson River from the rear deck. The Birch Court neighborhood is on the old grounds of the Briar Crest nursing home, and the whole street is lined with picturesque colonials. The one we listed back in April also had a full, finished walkout basement, a sweet rocking chair porch, a 2 car garage, open floor plan, and a phenomenal kitchen with a huge island.

The Metro North train is minutes away, as is shopping, schools, and just about every village amenity you can think of. The home also had almost a half acre lot. One of the more recent sales on Birch Court was in the low 500’s. I listed this house on April 25th and in about two weeks we had a contract at over asking price after multiple bids. It closed July 9th, 74 short days after I listed the property.

My clients had a cool idea when we first put the home up, which was to have an open house one evening just for the neighbors. We got an offer so quickly that it turned out to be more of a farewell bash, and I had the chance to chat with my clients’ son about the sale of the home. he told me he loved the place, and that someday he would buy the house back.

Yes. It was that nice a home.

Sold in Ossining by J Philip

If you want a nice home in Ossining like this one, we’ve got others!

[idx-listings city=”Ossining” minprice=”625000″ maxprice=”725000″ statuses=”1″ propertytypes=”2467″ orderby=”DateAdded” orderdir=”DESC” count=”10″]

Market August 8, 2013

What can you buy in Ossining for $260,000?

33 Campwoods OssiningWhat does $260,000 buy these days in Ossining, New York? 

I’m glad you asked.

Interesting story: I was referred to a very nice couple who had a cute little cape in the Campwoods neighborhood that had just expired off the market after being listed by a major franchise in our area. They were assured by our mutual friend that I could sell their home, which was priced at $250,000 when their term was up with their former brokerage. Campwoods, for those not fortunate enough to live in our area, is a fantastic, mostly pre-war neighborhood with oodles of local community goodies within a few blocks: grocery shopping, the awesome Wobble Cafe, Campwoods Grounds, and other neat stuff.

It was on the market 9 months twice, didn’t sell, and they wanted to move back to Queens.  It was a charming 3 bedroom cape, shiny hardwood floors, a wraparound porch and cool, window seats, built ins, and other classic appointments.  They had a first floor laundry, a formal dining room, and lots of light.  As appealing as the property was, after almost 2 years of unsuccessful efforts to sell, conventional wisdom would be to lower the price.

In reviewing the local activity, I recommended that they raise the price by $15,000 to $265,000. Within 2 weeks we had a buyer, and by the end of the month the home was under contract for $260,000. It closed the week before last 74 short days after I took the listing.

That’s what $260,000 buys, and if you want a place here too, we’ve still got others.

[idx-listings city=”Ossining” minprice=”225000″ maxprice=”275000″ statuses=”1″ propertytypes=”2467″ orderby=”DateAdded” orderdir=”DESC” count=”10″]

CommentaryIndustry NewsMarketMarket Statistics July 30, 2013

A Tale of Two Tweets: AOL Real Estate Schools Forbes

TweetsI follow both Forbes and AOL Real Estate on Twitter. I have always viewed Forbes as the standard of excellence in financial journalism, but in my view, this morning they got schooled by AOL in responsible reporting. Both linked to recent stories on the real estate market on Twitter this morning, and both could not have reported things in a more polar opposite manner. According to Forbes,

After months of encouraging signs, the housing market is starting to lose steam. The National Association of Realtors said pending home sales, which track houses under contract, dropped 0.4% in June, after rising 6.7% in May.

It was as if AOL was reporting about real estate in another planet:

Sales of new U.S. single-family homes vaulted to a five-year high in June, showing little signs of slowing in the face of higher mortgage rates.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday sales increased 8.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 497,000 units, the highest level since May 2008.

Both reports are within a few business days of each other and address the June 2013 market. Why the different conclusions? More importantly, who is right?

I believe that Forbes dropped the ball.  Real estate is a seasonally cyclical market. Any period is evaluated responsibly by comparing it to the same period the prior year. You don’t compare bathing suit sales, for example, from December to July. And you certainly don’t compare retail sales in February when returns are high to the crazy period in December around the holidays. You compare apples to apples. 

Forbes was factually accurate in reporting that June sales were down less than half a percentage point in June 2013 from May 2013. But their conclusion, that the market is “losing steam,” is misleading, because the spring market always tails off as summer comes because of market cycles, just as retail sales peak in December and tail off in February. 

AOL made the accurate call. In responsibly comparing June 2013 to June of 2012, they tell the real story: Sales are up almost 40% from the same time last year. That does not speak to a softening market in my opinion, it speaks to a market that is still undeterred from the rate hike and may in fact still be too hot.  

I’m actually surprised that Forbes would blow it like that. Who compares May to June? I have spoken with my share of real estate reporters, and by and large they understand the market cycle and how statistics can be interpreted. Forbes, of all media outlets, should know better.

AOL Real Estate 1, Forbes 0. 

 

Company News July 16, 2013

J. Philip Real Estate Welcomes Emilia Csak!

Emilia CsakIt is with great pride that we announce our newest associate to the firm, Emilia CsakOne of the great things about my life is the opportunity to work with people who bring things to the table that I do not possess. In the case of Emilia Csak, that is a pretty long list.

In her first 6 months in the industry (and at a time when the market was extremely weak), Emilia inked a transaction of over $4 million. Now a veteran of multi million dollar property closings, she has also earned the prestigious Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS) designation. Having known her for several years and watching her develop her career, I truly believe that there is no limit to what this talented, passionate and intuitive professional can achieve. 

A native of Romania (and Hungarian herself (from Transylvania!)), Emilia first came to the United States in 1997 and began to build her business acumen. She completed her Bachelors degree at Mercy College, and gained valuable experience running her own company prior to making her entry into the real estate industry. Emilia is fluent in Hungarian, Romanian, and of course, English. 

What has always struck me about Emilia is how comfortable she is in her own skin; I have never seen anything knock her off her focus. That focus, by the way, is why she’ll make an awesome fit in our business family: Emilia is a staunch advocate for her clients, living and dying with getting an outcome for them that is in their best interests. That has always punctuated out interactions, and she lives in the question of what more she can do, and how best to abide by her client. I love that. Lots of people have talent, but not enough people truly care. Emilia cares. 

Emilia specializes in upscale properties all over Westchester County, and is currently marketing an exceptional home in Harrison for $3.75 million that will take your breath away. To reach Emilia, simply call (914) 960-1712 or email her at emilia@jphilip.com. You can also connect online at www.EmiliaCsak.com

Company NewsIndustry News July 4, 2013

On Being an Inman 2013 Innovator Award Finalist

InmanOne of the biggest coincidences of my life occurred yesterday when, a few hours after sending a Facebook message to the late, great Joe Ferrara‘s sister, I saw a friend write that I was an Inman Innovator Award finalist. Joe was, among many things, a writer at Inman News and a huge influence and inspiration before his untimely passing in 2010. To be selected with only 6 other agents to be a finalist by the industry trade publication, an organization as respected as Inman, is a great honor. By the way, if we know each other and you don’t vote for me here I will boil this furry little kitten.

At first I was unsure how much of an “innovator” I really am, as I never invented a game changing tool or practice.  I did always aspire to make what I did have better and to use what I had access to more effectively than my competition. However, innovation isn’t merely invention. It is adaptation, implementation, and most importantly, execution. In those departments, I will say that Ann and I have given it our all.

Westchester is a competitive, brand conscious market. From the beginning, I believed that the way for a small firm like mine to win in this environment was to do what Sam Houston did to beat Santa Ana: beat them in the place they weren’t waging battle. Houston advanced at night. The place I felt I would do the best to resonate with consumers was to put all my chips on creating a great online presence. Even in 2005, it was obvious to me that more and more people would start their real estate journey via the Internet. That’s where I put time, my focus on niches, my marketing, and my perspiration. Every night when I went to sleep (or woke up drooling on my keyboard) I wanted to ensure that if someone who never heard of me googled me that they’d like what they see.

I could write for hours on the niches I continue to work, the specializations I focused on, and the effort it took to do the uncomfortable. Approaching expired listings, who often weren’t happy with real estate agents, was one of those things. Putting myself out there in other under-served areas was a muscle developed daily. It wasn’t enough to be online, or just great online, I was all about going where other firms seldom or never went. Our goal wasn’t to be paperless or virtual. I simply de-emphasized brick and mortar and made house calls to my niches. I continue to do that, and in spite of being in a brutally competitive suburban New York market, the worst housing downturn since the Great Depression, and dealing since 2007 with our son Gregory’s autism, Ann and I have grown this thing from a one man operation to a vital, growing organization of over 30 agents.

Which brings me back to Joe Ferrara. In 2009, after the market had crashed and small firms like mine were going out of business in droves, I was experiencing severe fatigue. My production was down more than 30% since 2007, I had a new home and mortgage, and my fledgling blog efforts were sputtering. I knew Joe a little from the Lucky Striker Social Media Club but had respected him as a huge industry voice for years. He was a celebrity. We spent some time together at some industry events in 2009, and Joe told me that he thought I was funny, smart, and that I should keep blogging. He told me to be myself and break the rules. Don’t worry about offending people. It was not a lot of conversations, but it was like having the Oracle speak to me. At the time, I was blogging on the Active Rain network (I still do from time to time, and owe the platform a debt of gratitude as well), and I jumped back into blogging with renewed inspiration.

The results were rewarding. I got on ABC World News when a producer found me on Google. Agents began to join our firm. I became Vice president of my Multiple Listing Service in 2010. I am now in my 4th term in that position. I have been in the print media and quoted by news outlets. My firm is now a member of Westchester Real Estate Inc, the most prestigious consortium of independently owned brokerages in my market. I am on Zillow.com’s Agent Advisory Board. But none of that would matter if I didn’t have a good reputation. That was the holy grail, and punctuated my daily work. As I tell consumers, the feathers in my cap mean nothing if I cannot get them to the closing table with terms reflecting their best interests. That is all it has ever been about for me.

It is gratifying that the industry has noticed. Joe Ferrara was kind enough to reach out first, and if I actually win I will share the honor with him and his family.

For AgentsIndustry News July 2, 2013

Zillow and Real Estate Xenophobia

Recently, in a real estate Tech Support Forum on Facebook, someone posted their opinion of Zillow’s latest TV commercial. Zillow is a powder keg for controversy in the real estate community as it is, but since the commercial didn’t make a prominent reference to a real estate agent (there was a broker sign in the yard) and was themed on a returning member of the military service, the discussion was particularly passionate. These debates always seem to have 2 camps: those who hate Zillow with an incredible, almost inexplicable vitriol, and those who tell them to get over it.

Now is about the time I disclose my relationship with Zillow. I have advertised on the site since 2006, been in their Premier Agent program since 2010, and for the past 10 months I have been a member of Zillow’s Agent Advisory Board. This does not mean that I have always been a zealous supporter of all that Zillow does; to the contrary, I always felt that my participation on the platform gave me license to offer, shall we say, feedback. I have been critical of some things they have done, and benefited greatly from others. Overall, the relationship has been overwhelmingly positive, and one could make the case that I am more emblematic of the good that can come of leveraging their systems than virtually any other agent in my market.

Sold LarkspurBack to the Facebook discussion: one particular agent took exception to my being a paying customer of Zillow. When I shared that my participation on the site has helped sustain my firm through the housing crash, this person stated that I was basically supporting a company that sought to put agents out of business, asked how I could sleep at night, and said that if  “Zillow saved your business, you need to back to school (sic) and learn business.” He also called for agents to stop doing business with them , which wouldn’t be a smart thing to do on social media, as boycotting is an anathema to real estate practices.

Sadly, this person is not alone. There are three basic issues that real estate licensees have with Zillow. The Zestimate, or estimated home value they post for every property, the data accuracy issues that Zillow has in common with every other real estate syndication site (in other words, that is an industry problem more than it is a Zillow problem), and Zillow’s pay model, in which they accept payment from agents in exchange for advertising (wow, what a concept). I am not going to deconstruct those issues now because I have already written on the Zestimate and the other issues aren’t exclusive to one site. Suffice to say on the Zestimate, however, that both listing agents and homeowners can claim their property and make data corrections to revise the estimate. It is done with municipal assessed value in every market. 

What should be addressed, however, is the abject hatred some licensees display about Zillow that not only undermines our professional body, but speaks to their inability to grasp what consumers want and how the industry is changing.

Webster’s Dictionary defines xenophobia as

an unreasonable fear or hatred of foreigners or strangers or of that which is foreign or strange.

I think this definition is apt for people like my Facebook discussion counterpart who demonized Zillow and it’s adapters with such passion.

The big conspiracy theory among the mouth breathing haters is that  Zillow really wants to put brokers out of business via a sinister plan of disintermediation. In other words, they want to supplant brokers and be the sole conduit of real estate transactions. The evidence offered is that some Zillow executives used to work at a travel website, and the travel industry was dramatically changed by the Internet. I used to be a bartender; I guess that means I want everyone to have beer goggles. I don’t know which is more absurd.

I have been to Zillow headquarters in Seattle. There is only one thing that is sinister about Zillow. Their employee snack bar. If I had one of those I would gain 30 pounds in short order.

Real estate professionals need to understand that Zillow is not the enemy. We are, to a vast extent, our own worst enemy. We shoot ourselves in the foot when we don’t understand the change in consumer trends. The Internet has been mainstream for well over 15 years now. Brokers are no longer the gatekeepers of information. Our trade association’s Internet policy is in large part the same since 1996. And while our ability to adapt to a new generation of consumers dies in committee, there are thousands of other lean, profit motivated capitalists out there gauging exactly what consumers want and how to best deliver that. In other words, Zillow and companies like them aren’t the news. They are the messenger.

If you are an agent that pines for the “good old days” when your best source of clientele was people walking into the office off the street, you need to be on notice.

If you long for the days when a consumer wanting information on homes for sale had to go through you because of the cabal-like grip licensees had on the data, you are on notice.

If you are fearful of Internet companies because you are concerned that buying a home will be a point and click transaction like buying a book or booking a hotel room, you are on notice.

The real estate industry will never “take back their data” via a boycott of technology companies. Battle cries like that are an intellectual dunce cap because it isn’t what consumers want.

Here is what the xenophobes need to understand: adapt or become irrelevant. You will not be supplanted by Zillow or any other website, you’ll be overtaken by your competitors who get it. Learn what consumers want and deliver it. Understand that our value proposition to the public is not as the door to the data, but as the trusted adviser in the largest financial event in most people’s lives. Failure to live up to that will only solidify the stereotype of a glorified door unlocker in the minds of too many consumers who want professional guidance, not lists of homes emailed that they already downloaded themselves. Stop demonizing what you don’t understand and start learning. Zillow has made my firm money because I have learned how to use it. 

Data companies and online advertising platforms like Zillow are not going away. They are the future. The sooner our trade organizations get that, the sooner they’ll regain the consumers lost to the better, faster stronger platforms unencumbered by outdated rules and committee bickering. In the meantime, change with the times or go in with your cousin on that corner cafe he’s been talking about.