The Hudson Gateway MLS statistics for single family home closings for the month of October indicate that the market is markedly better this year than last year, and is the most robust it has been since 2007. Both median price and the volume of closed transactions are up considerably and the number of pending sales is also up as well.
For the month of October, 2012, 348 homes closed at a median price of $561,500.
For the same month in 2011, 268 homes closed at a median price of $515,000.
That is a 10% increase in median price and a whopping 23% increase in transactions. It puts the yearly total well ahead of last years pace as well:
For the first 10 months of 2011, 3312 homes closed at a median price of $620,000.
For the first 10 months of 2012, 3777 homes closed at a median price of $600,000.
Transactions closed for the year overall are 14% ahead of 2011 and the median price is steady, albeit down slightly.
Another good sign is the number of transactions under contract and pending sale. There are 926 homes under contract at a median price of $521,950. Last year at this time there were only 674 homes under contract at a median price of $499,000. That is a 37% increase in homes under contract, and it is perhaps the best indicator of where we are headed than any other metric I know.
Median price is not the perfect barometer for true home values, but it does speak to the trend of price category that buyers are acting on. For example, the $521,950 median price of homes under contract does not mean that values have plummeted from the $600,000 median of the year to date; it does mean that more buyers are buying lower cost homes this time of year.
Perhaps the most significant takeaway from the results is that we are past the low point and entering a period of some stability and-brace yourself-some certainty. I do not expect prices to rise; I foresee flat values for the time being, but the number of sales is growing at a healthy pace. It is hard to argue with the talk of recovery in housing at long last. We were due for some
good news, so we should enjoy it while it lasts.
Recovery might be premature. My label: PREcovery. Write it down.
Ready to dig in? If so, here are some homes still for sale.
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On Open House Thefts: What Can a Real Estate Agent Do?
Last week I read in Agent Genius about a homeowner that was suing their real estate broker after the theft of $162,000 worth of jewelry from their home during an open house. The homeowners claim that they are entitled to damages because the crime basically occurred on the agent’s watch, and that the agent was negligent in not preventing the property from being stolen. This hits close to home for me, because a few years ago I hosted an open house where a theft occurred.
No one should ever have to endure this sort of loss, especially jewelry, which can have meaning that transcends appraised value. That said, I have a question for those debating what role the agent could or should have played in foiling the crime:
What should the agent do once they catch the crime in progress?
We are there to sell the home, so being in “prevent crime” mode strikes me as being rather antithetical to making a deal happen. You can’t exactly sell someone while at the same time being suspicious. Have you ever walked into a retail store and been “watched” by a suspicious shop keeper? It doesn’t exactly make you want to stay very long and buy something. That, coupled with the fact that the odds of a theft occurring in a properly prepared house being remote, mean that all we can do is catch thieves in the act.
Then what?
Tackle them?
Citizen’s arrest?
Subdue them somehow?
Chase them off?
In my own situation, it was two people who stole from a number of open houses in the area, and they were traced to another state. My client’s belongings were never recovered, and I don’t think the two were ever prosecuted. They signed in with fake names and numbers, and worked fast. One asked me some questions while the other cleaned out jewelry in under 2 minutes that was not under lock and key. I don’t know what would have happened if I somehow caught them in the act of committing the crime, and frankly I don’t want to know. People who stumble onto active crime scenes seldom tell happy tales.
Having already been attacked once in a house years ago as a new agent, I have to say as a husband and father of 4 children whom I REALLY want to see grow up, it is not my responsibility to take one in the gut for someone’s unsecured jewelry. It just isn’t. We take enough risk being alone with strangers in our efforts to sell your home.
I am no lawyer and have no interest in discussing the legal nuances or theory. I just value the pragmatic and my well-being. I find it ironic that if the agent slipped down the seller’s stairs that the seller would be liable, yet the agent is somehow supposed to possibly risk their life with a criminal for …things.
If you are selling your home, lock up your jewelry. Install a nanny cam if you want. But don’t add “crime prevention” to your agent’s job. We can’t prevent crime, we certainly cannot stop it, and we shouldn’t be responsible for valuables that should have been locked away. Lock away your valuables. Everything-and everyone- is safer that way.