Active Rain June 14, 2011

Regarding the Golfing Buddy Who Wants to Buy Your House

A commitment to playing, even in the rain.There is a real estate axiom I was reminded of recently by Bill Lublin that goes like this: every piece of privately owned property in the country is for sale. It might not be listed, but it’s for sale. If you knock on the owner’s door and offer them market value plus enough of a premium, you get the keys. It could be a dollar, it could be $4 million. But if you offer someone enough money, they’ll sell. 

There is a corollary to this, which is, of course, that everyone is a buyer if they can get a good enough deal. I am not currently looking for a beachfront property or a condo in Manhattan, but if you deed one over to me for my pool table and $500, I’ll sign today. 

There are two kinds of buyers in any market. Those that are looking, and those that aren’t. Those buyers who are looking are probably willing to pay market value. Those that aren’t looking, well… do I have to tell you?

If you have an acquaintance who expresses interest in your home over golf or cocktails, you should ask yourself first why they are just finding out about it at golf or happy hour. Strange, no? Because someone who is looking would know you are for sale if they have a pulse (especially if you are listed with me). What does this tell us? Your friend will buy your place. And he’ll clean your clock. Because the only reason he’ll close is if he can get a steal. 

If you have a buyer for your property the real work begins in many ways. It isn’t all downhill after a meeting of the minds necessarily, because many of these accidental buyers are among the most difficult I have ever dealt with.

  • They could not be as qualified as they think they are, because they haven’t bothered to speak to a lender yet. 
  • They might not be very cooperative, because they think they are doing you a favor. This can create havoc in a transaction, because unresponsive or entitled buyers frankly suck. 
  • You could ruin your friendship. Ever do business with a friend? 
Someone who expresses casual interest in your home in an unconventional setting does not make things easier for you or your agent. We still have to navigate contracts, inspections, financing, title and code compliance, the foibles of humans in a high dollar transaction and plenty of other pitfall-laden territory. For these and many other reasons they aren’t an automatic exclusion or reduction with your broker, and they may not end up being “the one.” But an expensive distraction? I’ve had plenty of those. 
In New York virtually all listing agreements stipulate that sellers will refer all interested parties to the broker. If there is a sale there, I’ll make it. And if there is a headache or distraction to avoid, I’ll weed it out. There is fools gold in any industry, and in ours it often comes from casual interest from acquaintances who were never looking to begin with, but would pause a brief moment for a steal at your expense. 

 


Active Rain June 14, 2011

Real Estate Terms to Take with a Grain of Salt

It is no exaggeration that getting transactions to close is far more work in this climate than it was 5 years ago. The most onerous pitfalls in my experience are related to title and compliance issues on the property. Old school agents often gloss over illegal bathrooms and decks, but title companies and lenders do not. The following is a list of terms that could be red flags for a problem in getting a home closed. 

 

  1. In-Law and Mother-Daughter apartments. In Westchester County, a home is either a legal single family or a legal two family. They have to be sold as one or the other. If someone makes a kitchenette basement apartment for their elderly relative it might not be a big deal to the neighbors or the code enforcers, but when it is time to sell the home has to be brought into compliance, which means making a de-facto two family a single family again. It has gotten to the point where our MLS will not allow in law or mother daughter to be used in the marketing information unless the home is a legal two family. 
  2. Grandfathered, or predates zoning. This is one of those illegal addition/improvement get out of jail free cards that actually exists but is very, very rare. The only time I have seen it is in a very old home that has been in the same ownership for several decades and never had work done that required permits after zoning laws took effect in the 1960s and 1970s. Even if those conditions exist, the best thing to do is verify everything at the building department to ensure a “predates zoning letter” is on file. 
  3. Buyer agent to verify.” The public seldom sees this phrase, but it is still popular in some parts of New York in the agent remarks section of the MLS. It translates to “I don’t want to be responsible for the square footage, taxes or other piece of quantitative data.” We don’t permit it for the property taxes in the Empire Access MLS, as the taxes must reflect the true tax figure without STAR or other exemptions, but some out of area agents still use it sometimes. No inaccurate data in a listing gets a mulligan, and listing agents must make all reasonable efforts to ensure their data is accurate. 
  4. Slam dunk, sure thing and other superlatives. This one has to do with a buyer’s ability to get a mortgage. Unless they have been through underwriting, it is irresponsible to characterize any borrower this way in the current market. It is often famous last words. 

There are others, and this is by no means an attempt at a glossary of misleading agent terms. These descriptions are often offered by well meaning people who haven’t yet gotten the extent of thoroughness that is required these days, but they learn fast.  

 

Active Rain June 13, 2011

“Buyers” Who Contact Sellers Directly

I'm pretty easy to reach, and the call is free. We see quite a bit of weird stuff in this business, which isn’t surprising when you mix home, large sums of money and the inevitable stress. It sometimes brings out a side of people that is unfamiliar, even to them. I have often said that you’ll see the best and worst of people  in what I do, and often it can be the same person on different days. 

It should be no suprise then, that certain people choose what we in New York call an “angle.” One of the occasional calculated moves I see is buyers who think that sellers who are represented by a broker would be better approached directly, either marginalizing or eliminating the broker altogether. It doesn’t work, but they try it anyway, and all it does is put everyone on a treadmill.  

The scenario typically plays out like this: I get a call or email from a seller client. 

Phil:

Our friend/neighbor saw that we are for sale and is very interested. We told him to call you. He said he’s been calling the number on the sign all week but hasn’t gotten a return call. Can you please call him? We really want to sell. 

-Client

Now, the odds of me not returning a direct call on one of my listings are as high as me seeing several thousand dollars in cash on the sidewalk and not leaning over and picking it up. We have two administrative people full time, one of whom is my wife and co-owner, and everything is followed up on-thoroughly. But the guy doesn’t know that. The most he probably did was call my office at 10pm, get voicemail, and hang up without leaving a message. 

After a few rounds of this, the seller gets frustrated. They may have even shown the person through the home themselves (highly inadvisable, especially if they don’t know the neighbor). I can hear it in their voice. I finally, often with great effort, get the “friend’s” phone number and discuss the home. They often want no part of me or are uncooperative. I’m not part of their plan. In most cases, the seller discovers that it was all a big waste of time.

This happens upon occasion, and the takeaway for seller clients is that if a prospect contacts you directly the best thing to do is get their number and pass it to your agent as soon as possible. If we can’t reach them, they were probably more interested in being a lone wolf than being the owner of your property. 

Active Rain June 13, 2011

Some Staging Advice We Can All Agree On

WoofI’ve never taken a staging class. I know little about staging and think it best left to the stagers by and large. But there are a few basics that it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out. 

You tidy up. 
You shouldn’t leave dirty dishes in the sink. 
The dog that loves to bark or just, um, loves, should be crated or taken in the car. 

And you don’t leave your bills out opened on the kitchen table or your dresser. Because then I’ll see them. And anything I see can and will be used against you in negotiations. And we won’t even tell you.

I have seen collection notices, overdue notices, divorce/bankruptcy paperwork and other intensely personal matters of private business stuck to refrigerators with magnets, tacked to a cork board next to a phone, on a desk, on a kitchen table or counter, and plenty of other very visible places open for all to see

When that happens, a good buyer agent will use the compromising information to eat your lunch in negotiations. You won’t even know what hit you or why the other side is playing hardball so zealously. The only thing you’ll know is that they’ve got you. And it will cost you. 

Yowza!

Active Rain June 12, 2011

Speechless Sundays: Hudson River by Bear Mountain

Active Rain June 11, 2011

How Can a Little Office in Briarcliff Sell so Many Homes All Over Westchester?

Prospective clients (and occasionally, colleagues) often ask how, if I am in Briarcliff Manor, I will be able to sell their home in <not Briarcliff>. We sometimes aren’t even in Westchester, but in Rockland or Dutchess. 

While I like to keep the tone of my blog more on the informative side, I have to admit that the most common question I am asked has an answer that is going to sound brazenly self promotional. 

And you know what? I am OK with that. 

When I started the firm in 2005, selling 20 homes in my own zip code seemed like it could take forever. BUT…selling one home in 20 zip codes? We did that our first year. And since 2006, I have been ranked in the top 10 out of over 7000 agents for total homes closed, despite having a new firm and a crummy market. And I did it because I grasped how buyers buy in the 21st Century

How-and why- people buy real estate today vastly differs in many ways from when I began in 1996. 

  • Main Street is the Information Highway. In 1996, if a person wanted to buy real estate, they had to walk into a real estate office or cruise the supermarket magazines. Today, everyone I work with looks online for the immediate feedback it provides- granular searches, photos, layouts, instant answers galore. A guy in Korea can search homes on my website the same as someone in Manhattan or Briarcliff. We made our online marketing a priority from day 1, and the results show it. 
  • Neighborhood experts have limited value if they don’t master technology…and a few other things. If you think that a buyer, who more than likely has an agent with the very same information, cares that your listing agent knows all the diner gossip, when the farmer’s market is, or the name of everyone on the PTA, you are sadly mistaken. It’s all online already anyway. If your agent isn’t thinking about you when they are in the shower, answering emails at 10pm, or returning phone calls promptly, your sale prospects suffer. That can get expensive. We have built a strong, streamlined organization that flat out hustles. 
  • Buyers care about their needs, not who the listing agent is. Does this need explaining? And this has been consistent since long before 1996. Buyers care about one thing: if a house they see meets their needs. 
  • The Boycott is BS. I see a huge irony in a Wall Street executive or a Westchester physician suddenly reverting to a nervous person worrying aloud that if they list with an “outsider” that the local firms won’t show the listing. Nonsense, and agents who suggest such a thing (“I would never boycott, but some agents…”) in desperation to secure a listing are compensating for unflattering issues. If a buyer tells an agent in this economy that they are interested in a house, that agent will work for their commission. If a buyer likes a house, they’ll check it out on Google Earth, Zillow, and plenty of other online venues and verify any derogatory information an agent passes to them. And if that agent lied or exaggerated, they lost their client and commission. Buyers are too smart for that. 
  • Niches matter. I have listed and sold millions (and MILLIONS) worth of real estate in areas where the client has told me flat out that if they didn’t have a specialized need, that they would have worked with someone more local. But I filled the need. We serve international markets (we have agents that are fluent in probably 10 tongues), urban dwellers from Manhattan, where I have another office, and a slew of other unique needs and market niches. 
There is more, but the point is that life in 2011 moves fast. I continue to study buyer habits, trends, and what works to create a meeting of the minds on home ownership between buyers and sellers. As my pal Matt Dollinger said the other day (brilliant guy, follow him on Twitter @Mattdollinger), we are in a constant state of being in “beta” on meeting client needs, because every time we got to 2.0, needs change and technology improves to meet needs better. We are revamping our home page. We are improving our home search.
In the past 30 days, 209 homes have expired off the market in Westchester, and probably triple that number have re-listed and remain unsold. Huge numbers of those sellers didn’t look very far for a solution, and they could well be doomed by the adage that if you do what you’ve always done, you’ll get what you’ve always gotten. For some, the solution would be a visit to our little office in Briarcliff that gets the big results. Better yet, I can come to you. 
Active Rain June 11, 2011

Opening Up About Open Houses

Open HouseThere have been several thought provoking articles written recently on open houses and why some agents really do them. The point that agents would offer to hold a listing open while surreptitiously using them to just prospect for buyer clients is actually a rather old modus operandi; however, my experience has been different.

I have run into sellers who complained to me that they found out that their last agent was using their home as “buyer bait” to be sure, but more often than not their complaint was that their last agent did NOT hold their house open. In my neck of the woods, many sellers still believe that open houses are effective marketing. I disagree. Open houses for me have been by and large a chance to catch up on emails and wish I was home with my kids. 

While they are very effective in markets like Manhattan, I view open houses in Westchester as a relic of a bygone era. Years ago, there were no published photos of homes for sale. The only way for a consumer to see the interior was to walk through. Today, with 30 photos on our local MLS, virtual tours, Youtube and other media, they are virtually obsolete. 

Think about it. We as listing agents promise that only pre-approved buyers will come look at the listing. Then, for 2 hours on a weekend afternoon, we allow anyone who can walk on their hind legs and sign what we hope is their real name to walk through. It’s inconsistent. And in my experience, it is ineffective. The chance that a person is not a nozy neighbor and truly qualified for a house is low. We’re just swinging blindly. And that’s no way to do business. 

I do, upon occasion, hold a listing open. But I prefer that it be under the umbrella of a proactive marketing plan as opposed to a reactive plan. In a reactive markeing plan (which is about 95% of the market), a seller in my area would call the listing agent and demand an open house because nothing is happening. The listing agent, guilty that there are no offers and eager to please, holds the open house. The plan? They hope someone walks in and they get lucky. In cases  like this, a seller will only agree to reduce their price after an open house- if it doesn’t sell. That’s no way to do business. 

In a proactive marketing plan, an open house isn’t held to pacify a nervous seller. It is done to attract lurkers, which is to say silent consumers who watch homes online but seldom inquire, to come and look without having to make an appointment or engage an agent that they may not want to commit to using. In proactive marketing, an open house is not only heavily publicized and well planned, it will be used to announce a price improvement and add some sizzle to the steak. In proactive marketing, you aren’t pacifying a nervous seller. And even then, you might not (and probably won’t) sell it, but you can own the outcome. 

By far, the Internet has changed the game of how real estate is sold. In Westchester, open houses are, in my view, mostly relics that some sellers cling to as a means of doing something because a property has not sold. In some of those cases, an open may indicate a reactive marketing plan. As for picking up buyers? I’d rather pick up my daughter. 

Active Rain June 8, 2011

Did the NAR Lie? I Think Not

I am posting this in response to a blog that suggests that the NAR misrepresented the truth when they lobbied against QRM initiatives. No apologist for the NAR am I, but I disagree that the NAR was wrong here. I am re-posting a PDF of the email the NAR sent all brokers in support of their view in a May 18 call to action to lobby lawmakers to protect lower downpayent mortgage programs. 

It is a little long, but I believe in transparency. This is too important to assert opinions without the facts. I do not believe the representations made in this email are fraudulent in the least, and I further believe that government fixes of the housing industry thus far have been by and large awful, with the exception of the expansion of FHA, which has saved the bacon of many, including Yours Truly. 

The PDF of the email can be seen here

CommentaryMortgages June 8, 2011

QRM, Skin in the Game, and the Abdication of Conventional Wisdom

This home was a short sale I sold in 2009. New owners seem to be doing OK. If everyone put 20% down on their home that the housing market would probably be healthier. And in other news, if I french kiss a skunk, I won’t be the most popular guy in an elevator. It’s all theory. Not everyone can put 20% down. In practical application it is a terrible idea. And we’ve known that since FDR was in office.

I have read quite a few pieces of commentary in support of government initiatives to marginalize FHA and other high LTV (which is to say low down payment) mortgages, because the of the defective notion that if people don’t have “skin in the game” that they’ll be less likely to pay their mortgage.

Let’s be clear. The vast majority of people who aren’t paying their mortgage are in hardship. They may have no equity, low downpayment or not, but that is an effect, not a cause of their position. Of my residential 44 listings, almost 20 are “short sales” where I’m going to have my clients walk away from the closing without a penny for the privilege of avoiding a foreclosure and leaving their home with dignity in the hopes of a fresh start down the road. Many of them had 20% or more equity at one time, and the downturn erased it. But their reason for selling is the loss of a job or loss of income, not their equity.

The argument for supporting QRM (qualified residential mortgages) is a poor one. I have 70 years of sustained prosperity in American housing, the backbone of which has always been the FHA and its 3.5% downpayment, to support that statement. Mandating that more mortgages have a 20% or more downpayment is fixing what isn’t broken. The housing crash turned our world upside down, but it ought not cause us to burn our axe handle to generate some heat.

Among the arguments against lower downpayment loans is that the day a person closes, they have little or no equity.

So what. Even when real estate was appreciating in a consistent way (which is to say, the last 70 years prior to 2007), conventional wisdom was that if you sold your home less than 5 years after purchasing that you’d most likely lose or break even, because of closing costs and brokerage fees. Even if you had equity and proceeds, you’d lose. So what changed?

As I type this, almost 40% of all residential properties with a mortgage in the USA are under water. With rare exception, the only people who are not paying their mortgages are the people who can’t. People want to stay in their homes as long as they can afford them. If they can’t afford them, they have to sell whether they have equity or not.

As long as we continue to fall on our spear with ill-conceived government “fixes” that do nothing but perpetuate misery, the fool’s gold “solution” of raising down payment requirements rings as true as “let them eat cake.” Sensible, responsibly underwritten, full documentation mortgages with low down payments are part of the solution and always have been. Millions of them brought about sustained and stable prosperity from the onset of the FHA in the 1930s through the growth post World War II America.

It is a slippery slope to marginalize lower downpayment loans. If we do, FHA and other backbones of the economy are next. And this is too important to politicize.

Active Rain June 8, 2011

Now Blogging on Patch

Ossining Patch

Ossining/Croton on Hudson Patch just started here June 1 and I have been asked to contribute to the blogs. I was happy to oblige. I am gratified that two of the top 5 posts are my own contributions and I hope to continue the trend. 

Ossining and Croton are two communities that are near and dear to my heart. Having grown up in Ossining, I spent a ton of my youth in Croton, between friends, scouts, and church youth group. Just this morning I had breakfast with a client at the famed Croton Colonial diner, a haunt I (and thousand of others) have known since high school. 

Both communities are rivertowns, right on the beautiful Hudson, and as such they have some common traits- they are popular MTA Hudson Line commuting points, they have tons of charming pre-war homes, and both communities are tight knit, civic -minded and proud. 

If I have one weakness in my blogging focus it is the hyperlocal. I indulge in lots of commentary on real estate, my experiences and insights, but I could do a better job of selling my area. I hope that with this new project that it will be the impetus for expanding my repertoire. 

If you are unfamiliar with Patch, it is an AOL-owned local online community, and it solicits the opinions and voices of the local. I think of it as like the evolution of the old community newspaper retrofitted for the online platform. If you have it in your area, check it out.