Active Rain June 12, 2011

Speechless Sundays: Hudson River by Bear Mountain

Active Rain June 11, 2011

How Can a Little Office in Briarcliff Sell so Many Homes All Over Westchester?

Prospective clients (and occasionally, colleagues) often ask how, if I am in Briarcliff Manor, I will be able to sell their home in <not Briarcliff>. We sometimes aren’t even in Westchester, but in Rockland or Dutchess. 

While I like to keep the tone of my blog more on the informative side, I have to admit that the most common question I am asked has an answer that is going to sound brazenly self promotional. 

And you know what? I am OK with that. 

When I started the firm in 2005, selling 20 homes in my own zip code seemed like it could take forever. BUT…selling one home in 20 zip codes? We did that our first year. And since 2006, I have been ranked in the top 10 out of over 7000 agents for total homes closed, despite having a new firm and a crummy market. And I did it because I grasped how buyers buy in the 21st Century

How-and why- people buy real estate today vastly differs in many ways from when I began in 1996. 

  • Main Street is the Information Highway. In 1996, if a person wanted to buy real estate, they had to walk into a real estate office or cruise the supermarket magazines. Today, everyone I work with looks online for the immediate feedback it provides- granular searches, photos, layouts, instant answers galore. A guy in Korea can search homes on my website the same as someone in Manhattan or Briarcliff. We made our online marketing a priority from day 1, and the results show it. 
  • Neighborhood experts have limited value if they don’t master technology…and a few other things. If you think that a buyer, who more than likely has an agent with the very same information, cares that your listing agent knows all the diner gossip, when the farmer’s market is, or the name of everyone on the PTA, you are sadly mistaken. It’s all online already anyway. If your agent isn’t thinking about you when they are in the shower, answering emails at 10pm, or returning phone calls promptly, your sale prospects suffer. That can get expensive. We have built a strong, streamlined organization that flat out hustles. 
  • Buyers care about their needs, not who the listing agent is. Does this need explaining? And this has been consistent since long before 1996. Buyers care about one thing: if a house they see meets their needs. 
  • The Boycott is BS. I see a huge irony in a Wall Street executive or a Westchester physician suddenly reverting to a nervous person worrying aloud that if they list with an “outsider” that the local firms won’t show the listing. Nonsense, and agents who suggest such a thing (“I would never boycott, but some agents…”) in desperation to secure a listing are compensating for unflattering issues. If a buyer tells an agent in this economy that they are interested in a house, that agent will work for their commission. If a buyer likes a house, they’ll check it out on Google Earth, Zillow, and plenty of other online venues and verify any derogatory information an agent passes to them. And if that agent lied or exaggerated, they lost their client and commission. Buyers are too smart for that. 
  • Niches matter. I have listed and sold millions (and MILLIONS) worth of real estate in areas where the client has told me flat out that if they didn’t have a specialized need, that they would have worked with someone more local. But I filled the need. We serve international markets (we have agents that are fluent in probably 10 tongues), urban dwellers from Manhattan, where I have another office, and a slew of other unique needs and market niches. 
There is more, but the point is that life in 2011 moves fast. I continue to study buyer habits, trends, and what works to create a meeting of the minds on home ownership between buyers and sellers. As my pal Matt Dollinger said the other day (brilliant guy, follow him on Twitter @Mattdollinger), we are in a constant state of being in “beta” on meeting client needs, because every time we got to 2.0, needs change and technology improves to meet needs better. We are revamping our home page. We are improving our home search.
In the past 30 days, 209 homes have expired off the market in Westchester, and probably triple that number have re-listed and remain unsold. Huge numbers of those sellers didn’t look very far for a solution, and they could well be doomed by the adage that if you do what you’ve always done, you’ll get what you’ve always gotten. For some, the solution would be a visit to our little office in Briarcliff that gets the big results. Better yet, I can come to you. 
Active Rain June 11, 2011

Opening Up About Open Houses

Open HouseThere have been several thought provoking articles written recently on open houses and why some agents really do them. The point that agents would offer to hold a listing open while surreptitiously using them to just prospect for buyer clients is actually a rather old modus operandi; however, my experience has been different.

I have run into sellers who complained to me that they found out that their last agent was using their home as “buyer bait” to be sure, but more often than not their complaint was that their last agent did NOT hold their house open. In my neck of the woods, many sellers still believe that open houses are effective marketing. I disagree. Open houses for me have been by and large a chance to catch up on emails and wish I was home with my kids. 

While they are very effective in markets like Manhattan, I view open houses in Westchester as a relic of a bygone era. Years ago, there were no published photos of homes for sale. The only way for a consumer to see the interior was to walk through. Today, with 30 photos on our local MLS, virtual tours, Youtube and other media, they are virtually obsolete. 

Think about it. We as listing agents promise that only pre-approved buyers will come look at the listing. Then, for 2 hours on a weekend afternoon, we allow anyone who can walk on their hind legs and sign what we hope is their real name to walk through. It’s inconsistent. And in my experience, it is ineffective. The chance that a person is not a nozy neighbor and truly qualified for a house is low. We’re just swinging blindly. And that’s no way to do business. 

I do, upon occasion, hold a listing open. But I prefer that it be under the umbrella of a proactive marketing plan as opposed to a reactive plan. In a reactive markeing plan (which is about 95% of the market), a seller in my area would call the listing agent and demand an open house because nothing is happening. The listing agent, guilty that there are no offers and eager to please, holds the open house. The plan? They hope someone walks in and they get lucky. In cases  like this, a seller will only agree to reduce their price after an open house- if it doesn’t sell. That’s no way to do business. 

In a proactive marketing plan, an open house isn’t held to pacify a nervous seller. It is done to attract lurkers, which is to say silent consumers who watch homes online but seldom inquire, to come and look without having to make an appointment or engage an agent that they may not want to commit to using. In proactive marketing, an open house is not only heavily publicized and well planned, it will be used to announce a price improvement and add some sizzle to the steak. In proactive marketing, you aren’t pacifying a nervous seller. And even then, you might not (and probably won’t) sell it, but you can own the outcome. 

By far, the Internet has changed the game of how real estate is sold. In Westchester, open houses are, in my view, mostly relics that some sellers cling to as a means of doing something because a property has not sold. In some of those cases, an open may indicate a reactive marketing plan. As for picking up buyers? I’d rather pick up my daughter. 

Active Rain June 8, 2011

Did the NAR Lie? I Think Not

I am posting this in response to a blog that suggests that the NAR misrepresented the truth when they lobbied against QRM initiatives. No apologist for the NAR am I, but I disagree that the NAR was wrong here. I am re-posting a PDF of the email the NAR sent all brokers in support of their view in a May 18 call to action to lobby lawmakers to protect lower downpayent mortgage programs. 

It is a little long, but I believe in transparency. This is too important to assert opinions without the facts. I do not believe the representations made in this email are fraudulent in the least, and I further believe that government fixes of the housing industry thus far have been by and large awful, with the exception of the expansion of FHA, which has saved the bacon of many, including Yours Truly. 

The PDF of the email can be seen here

CommentaryMortgages June 8, 2011

QRM, Skin in the Game, and the Abdication of Conventional Wisdom

This home was a short sale I sold in 2009. New owners seem to be doing OK. If everyone put 20% down on their home that the housing market would probably be healthier. And in other news, if I french kiss a skunk, I won’t be the most popular guy in an elevator. It’s all theory. Not everyone can put 20% down. In practical application it is a terrible idea. And we’ve known that since FDR was in office.

I have read quite a few pieces of commentary in support of government initiatives to marginalize FHA and other high LTV (which is to say low down payment) mortgages, because the of the defective notion that if people don’t have “skin in the game” that they’ll be less likely to pay their mortgage.

Let’s be clear. The vast majority of people who aren’t paying their mortgage are in hardship. They may have no equity, low downpayment or not, but that is an effect, not a cause of their position. Of my residential 44 listings, almost 20 are “short sales” where I’m going to have my clients walk away from the closing without a penny for the privilege of avoiding a foreclosure and leaving their home with dignity in the hopes of a fresh start down the road. Many of them had 20% or more equity at one time, and the downturn erased it. But their reason for selling is the loss of a job or loss of income, not their equity.

The argument for supporting QRM (qualified residential mortgages) is a poor one. I have 70 years of sustained prosperity in American housing, the backbone of which has always been the FHA and its 3.5% downpayment, to support that statement. Mandating that more mortgages have a 20% or more downpayment is fixing what isn’t broken. The housing crash turned our world upside down, but it ought not cause us to burn our axe handle to generate some heat.

Among the arguments against lower downpayment loans is that the day a person closes, they have little or no equity.

So what. Even when real estate was appreciating in a consistent way (which is to say, the last 70 years prior to 2007), conventional wisdom was that if you sold your home less than 5 years after purchasing that you’d most likely lose or break even, because of closing costs and brokerage fees. Even if you had equity and proceeds, you’d lose. So what changed?

As I type this, almost 40% of all residential properties with a mortgage in the USA are under water. With rare exception, the only people who are not paying their mortgages are the people who can’t. People want to stay in their homes as long as they can afford them. If they can’t afford them, they have to sell whether they have equity or not.

As long as we continue to fall on our spear with ill-conceived government “fixes” that do nothing but perpetuate misery, the fool’s gold “solution” of raising down payment requirements rings as true as “let them eat cake.” Sensible, responsibly underwritten, full documentation mortgages with low down payments are part of the solution and always have been. Millions of them brought about sustained and stable prosperity from the onset of the FHA in the 1930s through the growth post World War II America.

It is a slippery slope to marginalize lower downpayment loans. If we do, FHA and other backbones of the economy are next. And this is too important to politicize.

Active Rain June 8, 2011

Now Blogging on Patch

Ossining Patch

Ossining/Croton on Hudson Patch just started here June 1 and I have been asked to contribute to the blogs. I was happy to oblige. I am gratified that two of the top 5 posts are my own contributions and I hope to continue the trend. 

Ossining and Croton are two communities that are near and dear to my heart. Having grown up in Ossining, I spent a ton of my youth in Croton, between friends, scouts, and church youth group. Just this morning I had breakfast with a client at the famed Croton Colonial diner, a haunt I (and thousand of others) have known since high school. 

Both communities are rivertowns, right on the beautiful Hudson, and as such they have some common traits- they are popular MTA Hudson Line commuting points, they have tons of charming pre-war homes, and both communities are tight knit, civic -minded and proud. 

If I have one weakness in my blogging focus it is the hyperlocal. I indulge in lots of commentary on real estate, my experiences and insights, but I could do a better job of selling my area. I hope that with this new project that it will be the impetus for expanding my repertoire. 

If you are unfamiliar with Patch, it is an AOL-owned local online community, and it solicits the opinions and voices of the local. I think of it as like the evolution of the old community newspaper retrofitted for the online platform. If you have it in your area, check it out. 

 

 

Active Rain June 6, 2011

A Brief Thought on Service

The venerable Southside Market, home of many happy memories and lessons from my youth. It is under different ownership but is now very established in the neighborhood.  I worked the deli counter at a small market a block from Sing Sing Prison for much of my youth. The place was open from 5:30am until after midnight, specifically to serve the 3 shifts of prison guards from the Big House. They came in tired and burned after 8-12 hours or more with inmates, and we had them leave happy. I worked the night shift, and after a huge rush of dozens of sandwiches and hot dinners, I had to completely break down and clean the counter & steam table and close up shop before leaving at 1am. I seldom stayed more than 15 minutes past closing. My best friend’s father owned the place, and it was one of the best working experiences I ever had. 

Recently, dutiful husband that I am, I called my wife en route home to ask if she wanted me to pick anything up before returning home. “YES,” came the reply. “I’ve had a day. Luke has tons of homework, Catherine is being difficult, Gregory…wa wa wa …” You get the picture. Dinner, if I wanted it, would not come from the skilled hands of my bride. 

LICENSE TO SPEND MONEY! I could get anything I wanted, but the trick is waiting. The answer: a deli. Substantial, quick, relatively inexpensive. And off to the main drag went I, where there was a sidewalk fair to mark the summer season. Live music, tables with goods outside, and a festive atmosphere. I love his town. 

I walked in at 6:40pm, and gave my order: A nice Italian combo. 

No. 

The cold cuts were closed. 

I checked my watch and glanced back at the cold cuts. Twenty minutes until closing, and the cold cuts were open in the meat case. 

“I already cleaned the meat cutter.”

Stunned silence. 

Seriously? 

The cold cuts were closed TWENTY MINUTES before closing in a delicatessen? In New York

I flashed back to large, hulking prison guards from Sing Sing knocking on the glass door at Southside Market and asking me to open up after locking the door and sheepishly asking me to get them something before their 40 minute commute home after working a double shift with felons and murderers. I opened the doors and cleaned my counter a second time. It was my job, and I was making $3.50 and hour (it was 1985). Wedge, coffee, chips, napkin, soda, straw. 

I came back to my counter friend in 2011, and paused for a moment, and decided that I’d prefer not to argue. I couldn’t explain my thoughts to this guy and still eat before putting my kids to bed. So I said “OK,” and turned to find another place where they wanted to feed me. 

Seeing I was leaving, he said “wait” and offered me something which wouldn’t require the meat slicer. And I went home with a chicken cutlet. After which I went on Yelp and posted the following two-star review:

Great food. Well prepared. Huge selection. 

All of which is completely useless if you are going to tell a  patron that the cold cuts are unavailable 20 minutes prior to closing because you cleaned the meat cutter. 

Unbelievable.

In this counter worker’s mind he may have saved a customer, but he didn’t. He saved a $6 sale because I was hungry and food was 3 feet away. I have worked in hospitality and food services plenty in my life and that may be why real estate does not seem as hurculean as it does to some. I understand that kitchens close at a certain hour and I know that if you don’t run a business like a business you won’t remain in business. This is not one of those times. If you really want to give good service in any industry, you may have to clean your metaphorical meat slicer twice. 

 

Active Rain June 6, 2011

“I Will Only Speak to the Listing Agent”

On Friday morning I checked my email and found an online inquiry from about 11pm the prior evening asking to see one of my listings in what amounted to a few short hours. There are two offers on that property, contracts are out, and the homeowner could not possibly confirm the showing on such short notice, so I asked one of my better buyer agents to reach out to the person and offer to show the property at another time as a backup. 

Today, I got an email from the person. It wasn’t terribly happy in tone, and told me to straighten out my office politics. The guy only wanted to speak with the listing agent, not a showing agent, because the listing agent would know more about the property. 

My response was as follows:

Hi,

The seller needs more notice to confirm a showing so <agent> was asked to contact you for an alternate time. We got the inquiry at 10:42pm.

These things are not office politics, I am the listing broker and all buyer inquiries are given to showing agents who can do a better job of representing buyer interests than the agent hired by the seller as their advocate. We do not engage in dual agency.

I would encourage you to contact <agent> with any questions and we’ll be glad to get you any answers sought.

Best regards

Phil Faranda

The person wrote back and insisted that the “agent never saw the property.” Obviously, he wants me only or no go. So be it.

I have a few thoughts on this. 

 

  • I have never seen most of the properties I show buyers. We seldom preview in this market. 
  • If the person does have questions, the agent can get answers from the listing agent (who, in this case, is me). We do this all the time. 
  • If the buyer insists on dealing directly with the listing agent, he will be unrepresented. He will have no advocate. I work for the seller. 
  • If the buyer is not interested in the property, they’ll just move onto the next property and the next listing agent. We won’t acquire him as a client unless he loves our bubbly charm or good looks.
  • The person seems cut from the cloth of thought that thinks that dealing with a listing agent directly is the best way to get a good deal. This is a huge fallacy. It is hard to get a true bargain without an advocate.  
Since the home has two buyers and contracts are out, I will simply ask my client how she’d like me to proceed. Given the facts, if she asks my opinion, my advice would be to not proceed with this person at all. We know all we need to know. 

 

Active Rain June 5, 2011

Ossining Real Estate Market May 2011

Ossining, NY real estateMay 2011 marks the anniversary of the first month after the stimulus ended. That’s right, it has been a solid year since the mad rush to get a house purchase under contract by April 30. And as many of us in the industry remember, the market stalled after that. Closings in May 2010 were stimulus closings (the deadline for closing was eventually extended to September), so the comparison to May 2011 is skewed some, but the year look back gives useful perspective. 

For the period of May 1, 2011 through May 31, 2011, Ossining had 5 single family homes close at a median sale price of $382,000. 

In the same period, May of 2010, 12 homes closed at a median price of $445,000

Clearly, volume and values are down, but the further we go out from the stimulus period of 2010 the more organic and less stimulus-influenced the results become. Interpreting the results is not straight forward- was 2011 that bad? Actually, no, nor was May 2010 that “good.” One would wonder aloud why, if the median price fell $63,000 why more homes didn’t sell in 2011, but think this way: in 2010, sellers had leverage on the buyers. If the buyer wanted to get the seller to sign the contract by the tax deadline, they had to accommodate the seller. And many did. 

Here’s the silver lining, and reason for optimism for Ossining’s market looking forward to June: a whopping 33 homes are currently under contract, and if only half of them close by the 30th, that is one very strong month. 

If you’d like to find a nice home in Ossining, get yourself a free Listingbook account and search Ossining listings like a pro. 

Prior posts on Ossining can be found here

All information is from the Empire Access MLS and reflects all reported data by participating companies. 

Active Rain June 4, 2011

Short Sales to Blame on Housing Market Decline? Gimme a Break

Short sales will not end the worldA client forwarded me the link on Inman News to this broker in Nevada who blames short sale agents and sellers for the mess

Prices keep falling because the short-sale agents are listing at 5 to 10 percent below comps in order to try to get an offer, and often are accepting offers at even less. The banks come back at a higher price, and then the buyer walks. The downward momentum has been coming from the short sales, not from the REO listings.

All real estate is local, and perhaps there are many under-priced short sales in Nevada, but isn’t Nevada also one of the highest foreclosure states in the USA? It most certainly is. As a matter of fact, it is the NUMBER ONE ranked state for foreclosures, with 1 out of 97 households with filings, a staggering number when you consider that 2nd-ranked Arizona is at 1 out of 205. 

I commented as follows:

I can only speak for my local market and not the author’s marketplace, but if the claim is true, then all those bank owned REO listings that have undercut the market have taken their queue from short sales.

I find that hard to believe.

Since lenders render a decision based on market activity, I wonder what sort of agent would ever responsibly list a short sale at such a fantasy price as 10-15 % below comparable sales.

What may be closer to the truth is that the author sees short sales selling 10-15% below unrealistic asking prices, which sit and rot while losing the war of attrition with buyers who won’t bite, while short sales are listed and sold at a number in line with actual sales.

“Market value” is what buyers are willing to pay, not what some sellers wish they could get.

Short sales reflect the market. They do not set it.   

I know of no empirical data that suggests that the problem started with short sales. Banks only approve short sales based on market sales. Not asking prices. A short sale could very well be listed 10-15% below the competition. But the competing listings are probably overpriced, because guess what? They aren’t selling! To price a home to sell, you have to look at the sales, not the asking prices. Some of these unsold homes are on their 4th brokerage and are still chasing the market (and not running very fast either). 

I do agree that banks often counter at higher prices, and that is because the historical comparables are from the last 6 months, and when the market is falling, historical look-backs are at a time when prices are higher. Short sales reflect falling prices. They don’t cause it. You can’t sell a house for “below” market value, because guess what? If it were underpriced, the buying public would bid it up. Where do we see that most often? Yup, you guessed it- bank owned foreclosures. Not short sales. 

Market value is only what people are willing to pay. NOT what sellers or their brokers wish they could get.