Selling July 4, 2011

Compelling Reason to Price Your Home Right from the Start

I review market statistics ever quarter, and since we just passed the halfway point of 2011 I found some very powerful data on the relationship between percent of asking price that Westchester County homes sell for and how long they have been on the market. As the table from the Empire Access MLS below illustrates, the percentage of asking price a home sells for decreases the longer the home sits on the market, all the way down to a whopping 7% average loss for older listings.

The sample size, over 1700 closed single family homes in the first half of 2011, is plenty large enough to draw accurate conclusions. The longer your house is on the market, the less you can expect to net. 

Days on Westchester Count real estate market

  • 0-30 Days. There are very few home on the market 30 days or less. Even in a cash transaction, closing in 30 days is not easy. But of the handful that did close, they averaged above asking price by more than half a percentage point.
  • 31-60 days. This is also considered a fast closing, and the home would probably have to sell in the first week or two to close this quickly. Obviously, these homes were priced right. And in a severe buyer’s market, they averaged well over 97% of asking price.
  • 61-90 days. This is a larger sample, and represents over 12% of the market. These homes did sell quickly, and just over 96% of asking price was the average closing result.
  • 91-120 days. There is only a small difference, but still a difference, for the homes that took up to 4 months to close. This is just under 96% of list price, and represents almost 18% of the market activity.
Drum roll…
  • 120+ days. This group represents virtually two thirds of the market, over 1100 closings. Homes that were on the market over 4 months averaged only 93% of asking price. In a county where the median sale price is almost $600,000, that equals about $40,000. The chief reason a home takes longer to sell is that it is priced too high. How ironic. The people that tried for more ended up with less.
Many of these homes were on the market longer. This simply represents their latest listing contracts with the broker that sold them, so regardless of how long they were on prior to the data recorded, once their price was right they sold. 
There is another rough fact behind the numbers that isn’t obvious from the table. If overpriced homes take longer to sell, then it becomes clear that the homes on the market for longer than 120 days may have had price reductions along the way! I’ve seen homes sold in the low $500s that started out asking over $700,000! If they had started out realistically, they very well may have sold for mid or high 500s! Asking for more and chasing the market cost the sellers upwards of $50,000! How ironic! In a high cost place like Westchester, real estate mistakes are very expensive.
Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered.
Price it right from the start and you’ll net more. Be objective, think like a businessperson, and base your decisions on market data and not sentiment. The statistics aren’t kind if you don’t.

 Post Script:

The following chart was posted on my old blog by Debe Maxwell, an agent from Charlotte, NC. It also tells a compelling story.

Active Rain July 4, 2011

Declaration of Independence July 4 1776

IN CONGRESS, July 4, 1776.

The unanimous Declaration of the thirteen united States of America,

When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, –That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.–Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.
He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them.
He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only. 
He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures. 
He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.
He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.
He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.
He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.
He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.
He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.
He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.
He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.
He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:
For Quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:
For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:
For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:
For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent: 
For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:
For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences
For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies:
For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:
For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.
He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.
He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people. 
He is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.
He has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands. 
He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our Brittish brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the united States of America, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Colonies, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States; that they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States, they have full Power to levy War, conclude Peace, contract Alliances, establish Commerce, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent States may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.


The 56 signatures on the Declaration appear in the positions indicated:

Column 1
Georgia:
   Button Gwinnett
   Lyman Hall
   George Walton

Column 2
North Carolina:
   William Hooper
   Joseph Hewes
   John Penn
South Carolina:
   Edward Rutledge
   Thomas Heyward, Jr.
   Thomas Lynch, Jr.
   Arthur Middleton

Column 3
Massachusetts:
John Hancock
Maryland:
Samuel Chase
William Paca
Thomas Stone
Charles Carroll of Carrollton
Virginia:
George Wythe
Richard Henry Lee
Thomas Jefferson
Benjamin Harrison
Thomas Nelson, Jr.
Francis Lightfoot Lee
Carter Braxton

Column 4
Pennsylvania:
   Robert Morris
   Benjamin Rush
   Benjamin Franklin
   John Morton
   George Clymer
   James Smith
   George Taylor
   James Wilson
   George Ross
Delaware:
   Caesar Rodney
   George Read
   Thomas McKean

Column 5
New York:
   William Floyd
   Philip Livingston
   Francis Lewis
   Lewis Morris
New Jersey:
   Richard Stockton
   John Witherspoon
   Francis Hopkinson
   John Hart
   Abraham Clark

Column 6
New Hampshire:
   Josiah Bartlett
   William Whipple
Massachusetts:
   Samuel Adams
   John Adams
   Robert Treat Paine
   Elbridge Gerry
Rhode Island:
   Stephen Hopkins
   William Ellery
Connecticut:
   Roger Sherman
   Samuel Huntington
   William Williams
   Oliver Wolcott
New Hampshire:
   Matthew Thornton

Active Rain July 4, 2011

Chappaqua Real Estate Market, 2nd Quarter 2011

Chappaqua Train StationThis is the market report for Chappaqua, NY for the 2nd quarter of 2011. It covers single family homes in the Chappaqua from April 1, 2011 to June 30, 2011. All data is from the Empire Access MLS. 

In the 2nd quarter  of 2011, Chappaqua had 35 closings at a median sale price of $745,000.

In the 2nd quarter  of 2010, Chappaqua had 37 closings at a median sale price of $773,000.

Volume and prices are quite steady compared to the same time period last year. They are down just a little bit, but they remain steady.   

There are 42 homes currently under contract at a median asking price of $899,000. This is $100,000 more than the median sale price, so higher end inventory is moving. 

There are 186 active listings at a median asking price of $989,000. Higher cost homes take longer to sell, and while Chappaqua is quite healthy, it isn’t immune from the overall trend. That’s why there is over a year’s worth of available inventory. We just closed on a beautiful listing here in the Spring and are working to help the clients find a new home. 

This is a renowned community with renowned residents (the Clintons live here, as does Vanessa Williams), and some of the available properties are multi million dollar, breathtaking places. If you are looking in this price strata and you prefer northern Westchester, Chappaqua could be on your short list. 

Previous posts on Chappaqua Manor are here. 

Search Chappaqua homes like an agent with a free Listingbook account

Active Rain July 4, 2011

Briarcliff Manor Real Estate Market, 2011 2nd Quarter

Downtown BriarcliffThis is the market report for Briarcliff Manor, NY for the 2nd quarter of 2011. It covers single family homes in the Briarcliff from April 1, 2011 to June 30, 2011. All data is from the Empire Acess MLS. 

In the 2nd quarter  of 2011, Briarcliff Manor had 7 closings at a median sale price of $650,000.

In the 2nd quarter  of 2010, Briarcliff had 10 closings at a median sale price of $667,000.

Volume is down some from the same period last year, but prices are steady, actually up a tick.  

There are 15 homes currently under contract at a median asking price of $824,000. This bodes well for healthy property values going forward in the area.  

There are 40 active listings at a median asking price of $997,500. Higher end homes on the price scale are moving slower.  If you are looking in this sector, you might get yourself a deal. 

There is plenty of inventory in Briarcliff, and some of it is quite upscale. I live in Briarcliff, and I can tell you that the quality of life in this village is wonderful. This is where we choose to raise our family. 

Previous posts on Briarcliff Manor are here. 

Search Briarcliff homes like an agent with a free Listingbook account

Active Rain July 4, 2011

Ossining Real Estate Market, 2nd Quarter 2011

Downtown OssiningThis is the market report for Ossining, NY for the 2nd quarter of 2011. It covers single family homes in the Ossining School District from April 1, 2011 to June 30, 2011. All data is from the Empire Acess MLS. 

In the second quarter  of 2011, Ossining had 28 closings at a median sale price of $374,250.

In the 2nd quarter  of 2010, Ossining had 44 closings at a median sale price of $443,000.

This is a significant drop in both volume and price, and speaks to the decline of the market we are witnessing both in Ossining and other parts of Westchester County. This is great for buyers, but it is tough on sellers. 

Currently, there are 31 homes under contract at a median asking price of $375,000. This shows that pending prices are virtually pinned to within a few hundred dollars of last quarter’s median. At least it is consistent. 

There are 161 active listings at a median asking price of $440,000. The reason volume is so swollen is that prices remain higher than buyers are willing to pay. Lower your price, get an offer. 

I had a client make an offer on a nice home in the village last week but we couldn’t get the seller to come down. They are asking the same price as they paid in 2004. They’ll never get it. 

It’s a great time to be a buyer in Ossining! 

Previous posts on Ossining are here. 

Search Ossining homes like an agent with a free Listingbook account

 

Active Rain July 3, 2011

Speechless Sundays: Family Tree

Active Rain July 3, 2011

Forbes: List with the Guy Driving the BMW

FSBOForbes.com has published one of those silly For Sale By Owner glorifying articles we sometimes see and the advice in it is so poor it borders on comedy. I’ve blogged before on the trainwrecks I saw when I ran a flat fee MLS for sale by owner assistance business, and I feel quite qualified to answer. 

They start with Exhibit A, Barbara Marquardt, who estimates that she’s saved $30,000 in commissions over 20 years selling her homes herself without a broker. I firmly believe that this is the truth. Ms. Marquardt has indeed avoided paying $30,000 in commission. When I ran my FSBO firm we had dozens of people not pay hundreds of thousands in commissions as well. 

Note that I said “not pay.” I didn’t say “save.” Because regardless of Ms Marquardt’s case, which has no evidence but her own assertions, the transactions I saw varied from passing gas in an elevator on a first date to full-blown train wrecks. Selling a $500,000 house for $465,000 with a drama-filled 4 month contract period isn’t saving money. And that was on the kinder side of typical transactions we saw. 

The next jewel of advice came from the article author, conceding that some properties, such as an upscale, 7-figure home should have a broker. The criteria for hiring an agent? They needed to drive “a Lexus, Cadillac, BMW or Mercedes.”

Wow. Not have experience, references and a proven track record. Just be able to avoid the repo man. Great advice. 

There were other golden nuggets, such as reducing brokers to middle men, which, as I commented, belies a fundamental misunderstanding of the industry that is so terrible it really didn’t edify the Forbes platform. 

The only piece of advice worth taking was the sage thought that sellers have to view the transaction objectively, like a business transaction. 

That’s the trick isn’t it? If there is a challenge even the best broker faces, it isn’t unlocking doors. It is unlocking the mind of a biased seller who may be sophisticated at computer programming, testifying before a grand jury or removing a cancerous tumor but only sells a house once in 20 years and is out of their depth, much as they might hate to concede it. 

Hardcore FSBOs are all too often more committed to a suicide pact of avoiding a commission rather than seeing the big picture. They’ll avoid help which could net them tens of thousands more with the same obstinacy that my 7 year old daughter dispays when she wants to braid her hair all on her own. They don’t care if they look like a dyslexic Princess Leia after she lost a fight with a hair dryer. It’s their party, and they can trash it all they want.

Carry on. 

 

Active Rain July 3, 2011

Croton on Hudson Real Estate Market, 2nd Quarter 2011

Croton GorgeI have stopped doing monthly market reports in favor of quarterly version in the hope of smoothing out the data and minimizing anomalies. Even so, the results of this quarter’s data for Croton-Harmon schools are impressive. All data is taken from the Empire Access Multiple Listing Service. 

In the 2nd quarter of 2010, 17 single family homes sold at a median price of $486,500. 

In the 2nd quarter of 2011, 14 single family homes sold at a median price of $592,500, over $100,000 more than the same time period last year. 

They are down three sales, but that is a massive jump and can’t be attributed to just one strange month. That is for three whole months. That speaks to the fact that Croton is attracting higher priced buyers seeking more expensive homes than years past. Upscale housing is more common now than it was before, as newer subdivisions attest.  Activity there raises the median price.   

16 homes are under contract with a buyer at a median asking price of $479,450, so prices appear to be coming back in line with history, and that punctuates the strong quarter the area just enjoyed. 

59 homes are on the market at a median asking price of $529,900, or about a year’s worth of inventory. If you’d like to search Croton’s available homes for sale like an agent, get yourself a free Listingbook Account.

Previous posts on Croton on Hudson. 

 

Active Rain July 2, 2011

Fireworks on the Historic Hudson

Fireworks on the Ossining WaterfrontThey did a fireworks show on the Hudson River this evening right on the Ossining, NY waterfront. The kids lobbied hard to go, and even though I was kind of tired and we can sort of see it from our upstairs rear window, I gave in. Up close was much better. I’m glad we went. 

There is something really cool about watching Independence Day fireworks on the historic Hudson River from a vantage by Sing Sing Prison, which dates to when the country was young. This video captures the finale of the show, and my kids’ reaction. After the fireworks were over, you could hear car alarms all over town. They were that powerful. 

I never published any schedule for fireworks this year, so I thought I’d bring them to you! 

Active Rain June 30, 2011

Wordless Wednesday: Freedom Tower